Reports – CB Insights Research https://www.cbinsights.com/research Tue, 25 Feb 2025 15:19:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 The future of the customer journey: AI agents take control of the buying process https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/future-of-customer-journey-autonomous-shopping/ Tue, 25 Feb 2025 15:19:32 +0000 Shopping could soon be as simple as saying “yes.” Imagine: your personal AI agent notifies you that a hair dryer you’ve been eyeing is now on sale. The product page highlights benefits tailored to your curly hair, while the agent …

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Shopping could soon be as simple as saying “yes.”

Imagine: your personal AI agent notifies you that a hair dryer you’ve been eyeing is now on sale. The product page highlights benefits tailored to your curly hair, while the agent confirms it will arrive before your upcoming trip.

With your approval, the agent handles the purchase through your secure wallet. Later, it proactively suggests complementary hair care products for the summer season.

DOWNLOAD: THE FUTURE OF THE CUSTOMER JOURNEY

Get the full breakdown of how AI agents are taking control of the buying process.

This world of autonomous commerce isn’t as far off as it seems. Tech and e-commerce leaders — including OpenAI, Nvidia, Amazon, Walmart, Google, and Apple — are already building AI systems that are steps away from conducting transactions. 

AI agents will impact each stage of the customer journey, streamlining the path to purchase and fundamentally transforming how businesses build relationships with consumers and drive loyalty.

Infographic of how AI agents will take control of each stage of the customer journey, from awareness and consideration to advocacy

We use CB Insights data on early-stage fundraising, public companies, and industry partnerships to analyze how generative AI — especially AI agents — is transforming the customer journey.

In the 11-page report, we cover 3 predictions that emerged from our analysis: 

  1. First-party transaction data will shape the future of AI-driven personalization. As personalization becomes more sophisticated at the awareness and consideration stages, companies with direct access to first-party data will have an edge.
  2. Direct-to-agent (D2A) commerce will kill traditional loyalty. With AI agents handling browsing and shopping, traditional loyalty programs will lose effectiveness as agents optimize shopping across a select group of merchants.
  3. A few AI agents will own the customer relationship. Companies like Amazon, Google, and Apple — with critical distribution and financial services infrastructure — are well-positioned in commerce.

RELATED RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of Insurtech 2024 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/insurtech-trends-2024/ Thu, 13 Feb 2025 18:03:07 +0000 In 2024, investors continued to retreat from insurtech. Just 113 investors made at least 2 equity insurtech investments during the year — a 72% drop from the high of 406 investors in 2021. As a result, insurtech dealmaking dropped to …

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In 2024, investors continued to retreat from insurtech.

Just 113 investors made at least 2 equity insurtech investments during the year — a 72% drop from the high of 406 investors in 2021. As a result, insurtech dealmaking dropped to 362 deals, the lowest annual total since 2016.

The number of investors making 2+ insurtech deals in a given year has plummeted 72% since 2021, to just 113 investors in 2024

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of insurtech.

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Get 90+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in insurtech.

Key takeaways from the report include:

  • Insurtech dealmaking and funding continue to decline. Deal count fell 28% year-over-year (YoY) to 362 deals in 2024, while funding dropped 4% to $4.5B. Insurtech deals and funding are both at recent lows.
  • Quarterly funding to P&C insurtechs is in the gutter. P&C funding dropped 43% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to $0.4B in Q4’24 — a 7-year low — with annual funding also declining to $2.6B. The year’s 2 largest deals in P&C went to AI-focused startups Altana AI and Akur8, highlighting investors’ appetite for specialized AI opportunities.
  • Silicon Valley is dethroned as insurtech’s funding capital. Silicon Valley’s share of global insurtech funding dropped dramatically from 20% in 2023 to 10% in 2024, surpassed by New York at 15%. This was the first time since 2018 that Silicon Valley wasn’t No. 1.
  • Early-stage insurtechs raise record-high deal sizes. The median early-stage insurtech deal size surged 52% YoY to $3.8M in 2024 — outpacing the broader venture landscape — as investors concentrate on a more selective group of innovators.
  • Recently funded insurtechs show stronger business fundamentals and more efficient growth trajectories. Insurtechs that raised funding in 2024 have grown employee headcounts by a median of 20% over the last 12 months, far surpassing the 3% growth among those that raised during the funding boom of 2021.

Insurtech dealmaking and funding continue to decline

Insurtech deal count fell 28% YoY, from 500 deals in 2023 to 362 in 2024. The decline outpaced the broader venture environment, which saw deal count fall 19% YoY. 2024 was the worst year for insurtech dealmaking since 2016 (328 deals).

Insurtech deals decline once again in 2024, down 28% YoY to 362

Deal volume among leading investors has also decreased. The number of investors that made 5 or more equity insurtech investments has fallen from 57 in 2021 to just 7 in 2024. Those that remain active now operate in a more favorable environment due to reduced competition across the marketplace.

Insurtech funding declined in 2024 as well, though by only 4% YoY. 

Quarterly funding to P&C insurtechs is in the gutter

Q4’24 marked a 7-year low for P&C insurtech funding, which fell 43% QoQ to $0.4B. The decline caused broader insurtech funding to halve QoQ, from $1.4B in Q3’24 to $0.7B in Q4’24.

P&C insurtech funding falls to a 7-year low in Q4'24

P&C deal count also fell 10% QoQ to 45 in Q4’24, the lowest level since Q2’16.

Annual P&C insurtech funding declined to $2.6B in 2024, a 7-year low, underscored by just 2 P&C insurtech startups raising $100M+ mega-round deals: Altana AI, which offers an AI-powered supply chain risk platform, and Akur8, an AI-powered pricing platform. Those deals signal appetite for specialized AI products for the insurance industry, coinciding with a global surge in AI funding to over $100B last year.

Comparatively, life & health insurtech saw an increase in annual funding and dealmaking. Funding increased 64% YoY to $1.8B in 2024, while deals ticked up from 126 in 2023 to 128 in 2024.

Silicon Valley is dethroned as insurtech’s funding capital

The share of global insurtech funding to Silicon Valley-based startups halved YoY, falling from 20% in 2023 to 10% in 2024. Comparatively, New York led the way with 15% of global insurtech funding share in 2024, more than doubling from 7% the year prior.

Silicon Valley is the world’s leading tech ecosystem, and venture-wide funding to the region’s startups soared last year amid a boom in AI investment. Given the ecosystem’s prominence, diminished insurtech activity in Silicon Valley could lead to missed opportunities for insurance-focused AI advancements.

Silicon Valley’s share of insurtech funding shrinks to 10% in 2024

Early-stage insurtechs raise record-high deal sizes

The median insurtech deal size increased from $4.1M in 2023 to $5.2M in 2024.

The increase was fueled by early-stage insurtechs, which saw median deal size surge 52% YoY, from $2.5M in 2023 to $3.8M in 2024. The size and growth rate both beat out the broader venture environment, where early-stage deal size increased 17% YoY to $2.1M.

Combined with the broader decline in dealmaking, larger check sizes indicate that investors are concentrating their investments on fewer bets. For the insurance industry, this dynamic points to a slimmer insurtech landscape with fewer high-growth participants moving forward.

Early-stage insurtech deal sizes reach a record high in 2024

On the other hand, late-stage insurtech deal sizes declined 19% YoY from $40M in 2023 to $32.5M in 2024.

The decline coincides with a restricted exit environment: Insurtech M&A exits fell from 57 in 2023 to 35 in 2024. 

Nevertheless, notable exits include CCC Intelligent Solutions’s acquisition of EvolutionIQ in December at a valuation of $730M, as well as Applied’s purchase of Planck in July. Both acquisitions targeted genAI-enabled startups, signaling a broader appetite for genAI insurance offerings.

Recently funded insurtechs show stronger business fundamentals

Insurtechs that raised funding in 2024 are growing headcounts faster than other insurtechs, by a median of 20% over the last 12 months and 40% over the last 24 months.

Recently funded insurtechs grow quicker by headcount

Comparatively, median headcount growth among insurtechs that raised a funding round at the height of the funding boom in 2021 is marginal — just 3% over the last 12 months.

The higher growth rates of recently funded insurtechs suggest a new breed of companies with stronger fundamentals — they’re not only able to raise capital in a selective market but are also demonstrating more efficient growth than their 2021-funded counterparts.

By the same logic, investors and partners (like established brokers and carriers) should monitor the landscape for outliers that represent organic growth opportunities — such as insurtechs that haven’t raised funding in several years but continue to grow headcount at a steady clip.

MORE INSURTECH RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of Climate Tech 2024 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/climate-tech-trends-2024/ Thu, 06 Feb 2025 16:40:03 +0000 Climate tech investment activity dropped significantly in 2024, with both funding and deals falling to their lowest levels since 2020. A key factor in the slowdown was a sharp drop in funding from mega-rounds ($100M+ deals), which dropped 47% year-over-year …

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Climate tech investment activity dropped significantly in 2024, with both funding and deals falling to their lowest levels since 2020.

A key factor in the slowdown was a sharp drop in funding from mega-rounds ($100M+ deals), which dropped 47% year-over-year (YoY) in 2024. This coincided with high-profile bankruptcies of established climate tech startups like battery manufacturer Northvolt.

However, this turbulence wasn’t limited to the private markets — public players like Lilium and Arrival also filed for insolvency/bankruptcy over the period, highlighting the commercialization challenges facing capital-intensive industries like climate tech.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of climate tech across sectors, geographies, and more.

Key takeaways from the report include:

  • Climate tech investment activity continues to contract. Global climate tech funding fell for the second year straight in 2024, dropping by 40% YoY, with mega-round funding falling by 47%. However, the space still saw notable mega-rounds. This included deals to players modernizing the power grid, drawing participation from tech giants racing to secure clean energy for computing infrastructure.
  • Grid tech and nuclear are gaining momentum to meet AI’s energy needs. Within climate tech, markets targeting the grid and power generation show the strongest growth potential, according to CB Insights Mosaic startup health scores. This momentum is driven in part by the massive energy demands (and expected continued demand) of AI data centers.
  • Electric vehicle technology sees record pullback in deals. After years of steady growth, electric vehicle (EV) tech deal activity plunged 61% YoY in 2024 — its steepest decline on record. This points to broader challenges in the sector, like lower consumer demand for EVs and increased capital costs for scaling manufacturing operations.
  • Climate tech M&A exits decline once again. Climate tech M&A exits dropped by 25% YoY to hit 284, the lowest count since 2020. At the quarterly level, M&A exits steadily declined over the course of 2024, falling from 104 in Q1’24 to 39 in Q4’24. Growing skepticism around environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives could be a contributing factor.

We dive into the trends below.

Climate tech investment activity continues to contract

Global climate tech funding dropped for a second consecutive year in 2024. It fell by 40% YoY, with mega-round funding falling by 47% over the same period.

Climate tech funding continues to retreat

The funding slowdown played out differently across the globe. US climate tech showed resilience YoY with relatively steady funding despite fewer deals. Meanwhile, other countries saw steep declines in climate tech dollars, with China experiencing the sharpest drop (-66% YoY).

Amid the overall funding decline, climate tech still saw several notable mega-rounds. This included deals in Q4’24 for companies modernizing the power grid:

  • Crusoe secured $600M at a $2.8B valuation to support its efforts to use waste natural gas to power large-scale data centers
  • X-energy received $500M as it works to build small modular reactors (SMRs) capable of generating more than 5 gigawatts of electricity by 2039
  • Form Energy secured $405M to accelerate production of its iron-air batteries capable of 100-hour energy storage

Notably, some of these deals drew participation from big tech companies racing to secure clean energy for computing infrastructure. For example, Amazon (via the Climate Pledge Fund) invested in X-energy’s nuclear development, and Nvidia invested in Crusoe’s sustainable computing infrastructure, reflecting big tech’s interest in solutions that can help meet rising AI data center demands.

Grid tech and nuclear are gaining momentum to meet AI’s energy needs

Comparing median CB Insights Mosaic scores (a measure of private tech company health and growth potential on a 0–1,000 scale) for climate tech companies that raised equity funding in 2024 reveals the most promising markets in climate tech.

Grid tech and nuclear markets — covering technologies directly integrated into and operated by utilities to enhance power system reliability, flexibility, and clean energy integration — dominate the top 10 climate tech markets by median Mosaic score, highlighting their growth potential.

Grid tech and nuclear markets are gaining momentum amid surge in AI data center energy demands

Surging energy demand from AI data centers is in part responsible for these markets’ momentum. For example, nuclear fusion and small modular reactors could provide continuous clean power generation, grid storage enables reliable renewable energy delivery, and virtual power plants help optimize massive power loads.

Electric vehicle technology sees record pullback in deals

Electric vehicle tech deals experienced their steepest decline on record in 2024, with deal count plunging 61% YoY to 243.

Electric vehicle tech deals plunge 61% — the steepest decline on record

High-profile bankruptcies underscored the sector’s capital-intensive manufacturing challenges in 2024. Battery manufacturer Northvolt filed for bankruptcy a year after raising $1.2B, as it struggled to scale production efficiently. Electric van maker Arrival — which went public in 2021 at a $13B valuation — also filed for bankruptcy last year amid mounting production costs and the inability to raise funding.

Even the auto industry’s most prominent EV champions scaled back their electric ambitions throughout the year:

  • GM delayed its Orion Assembly EV truck plant by 6 months and cut 2024 EV targets by 17%
  • Toyota postponed US EV production to 2026
  • Ford canceled plans to produce an all-electric three-row SUV, pivoting to a hybrid approach instead
  • Volvo dropped its 2030 all-electric goal

Climate tech M&A exits decline once again

In 2024, climate tech M&A exits fell by 25% YoY to hit 284 — the lowest count since 2020.

Climate tech M&A exits hit lowest count since 2020

At the quarterly level, M&A exits steadily declined over the course of 2024, falling from 104 in Q1’24 to 39 in Q4’24.

The decline in M&A activity coincided with key changes in market conditions, including the rise of economic headwinds, political uncertainty, and growing skepticism around environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives.

For example, ESG tech markets collectively saw equity funding decline 54% YoY in 2024. On the corporate side, mentions of ESG in earnings calls have trended down since peaking in Q1’22.

As skepticism toward ESG initiatives grows, some companies appear to be placing lower priority on climate tech acquisitions that were previously considered strategic imperatives.

MORE CLIMATE TECH RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of CVC 2024 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/corporate-venture-capital-trends-2024/ Tue, 04 Feb 2025 14:00:45 +0000 Global CVC-backed funding rebounded 20% YoY to $65.9B in 2024, fueled by increased attention to US startups — especially AI companies, which drew record-high shares of both CVC-backed deals and funding. However, global CVC deal count dropped to its lowest level …

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Global CVC-backed funding rebounded 20% YoY to $65.9B in 2024, fueled by increased attention to US startups — especially AI companies, which drew record-high shares of both CVC-backed deals and funding.

AI startups capture 37% of CVC-backed funding in 2024

However, global CVC deal count dropped to its lowest level since 2018 as CVCs become more selective.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of CVC across sectors, geographies, and more.

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Get 120+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest trends in corporate venture capital.

Key takeaways from the report include:

  • CVC-backed funding grows, deal activity slows. Global CVC-backed funding increased 20% YoY to $65.9B, but deal count fell to 3,434, the lowest level since 2018. All major regions saw deal volume declines, with Europe dropping the most at 10% YoY.
  • CVCs are all in on AI. AI startups captured 37% of CVC-backed funding and 21% of deals in 2024 — both record highs. Counter to the broader decline in deals, CVCs ratcheted up AI dealmaking by 13% YoY as they race to secure footholds in the space before competitors gain an insurmountable edge.
  • The flight to quality continues. Among deals with CVC participation, the annual average deal size hit $27.3M in 2024, tied for the second highest ever. Amid fewer deals, CVCs are increasingly aggressive when they do decide to invest.
  • Early-stage deals dominate. Early-stage rounds comprised 65% of 2024 CVC-backed deals, tied for the highest share in over a decade. Biotech startups made up half of the top 20 early-stage deals.
  • CVC-backed funding plummets in Asia. In 2024, Asia’s CVC-backed funding dropped 34% YoY to $7B — the lowest level since 2016. China is leading the decline, with no quarter in 2024 exceeding $0.5B in funding. CVCs remain wary of investing in the country’s private sector.

We dive into the trends below.

CVC-backed funding grows, deal activity slows

Global CVC-backed funding reached $65.9B, a 20% YoY increase. The US was the main driver, increasing 39% YoY to $42.8B. Europe also saw CVC-backed funding grow 18% to $12.3B, while Asia declined 34% to $7B.

$100M+ mega-rounds also contributed to the rise, ticking up 21% YoY to 141 deals worth over $32B in funding.

CVC-backed equity funding jumps 20% in 2024

Meanwhile, deal count continued its decline, as both annual (3,434 in 2024) and quarterly (806 in Q4’24) totals reached their lowest levels in 6 years.

Annual deal volume fell by at least 6% YoY across each major region — the US, Asia, and Europe — with Europe experiencing the largest decline at 10%.

However, Japan-based CVC deal volume remains near peak levels, suggesting a more resilient CVC culture compared to other nations. Two of the three most active CVCs in Q4’24 are based in Japan: Mitsubishi UFJ Capital (21 company investments) and SMBC Venture Capital (15).

CVCs are all in on AI

AI is driving CVC investment activity, much like the broader venture landscape. In 2024, AI startups captured 37% of CVC-backed funding and 21% of deals, both record highs.

In Q4’24, the biggest CVC-backed rounds went primarily to AI companies. These include:

CVCs are also investing in the energy companies powering the AI boom, such as Intersect Power, which raised the largest round at $800M (backed by GV).

Expect the trend to continue into 2025, as emerging AI markets mature further, such as AI agents & copilots for enterprise and industrial use cases; AI solutions for e-commerce, finance, and defense; and the computing hardware necessary to power these technologies.

The flight to quality continues

In 2024, the annual average deal size with CVC participation reached $27.3M, a 34% YoY increase and tied for the second highest level on record, exceeded only by the low-interest-rate environment of 2021.​

Median deal size also increased, though only by 8% to $8.6M.

Annual average CVC-backed deal size hits its second highest level ever, at $27.3M

 

Even though the number of CVC-backed deals declined in 2024, the increase in average annual deal size reflects a focus on companies with strong growth prospects. CVCs are prioritizing quality and committing more funds to a select group of high-potential investments.

Early-stage deals dominate

Early-stage rounds (seed/angel and Series A) made up 65% of CVC-backed deals in 2024, tied for the highest recorded level in more than a decade.​

65% of CVC-backed deals are early-stage

In Q4’24, biotech companies were the early-stage fundraising leaders, accounting for 10 of the 20 largest early-stage deals. Biotech players City Therapeutics, Axonis, and Trace Neuroscience all raised $100M+ Series A rounds, with City Therapeutics and Axonis notably receiving investment from the venture arms of Regeneron and Merck, respectively.

Among all early-stage CVC-backed companies, the largest round went to Physical Intelligence, a startup focused on using AI to improve robots and other devices. Physical Intelligence raised a $400M Series A with investment from OpenAI Startup Fund.

CVC-backed funding plummets in Asia

Asia’s CVC-backed funding continued its downward trend in 2024, decreasing 34% YoY to $7B.

CVC-backed equity funding to Asia falls 34%

China was the main driver, with CVC-backed funding coming in at $0.5B or less every quarter in 2024.​ CVCs remain wary of investing in startups in the nation, which faces a variety of economic challenges, including a prolonged real estate slump, cautious consumer spending, strained government finances, and weakened private sector activity amid policy crackdowns.

In Japan, on the other hand, CVC activity remains robust. In 2024, funding with CVC participation ($1.7B) remained on par with the year prior, while deals (502) actually increased by 11%.

MORE VENTURE RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of AI Report: 6 trends shaping the landscape in 2025 https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/ai-trends-2024/ Thu, 30 Jan 2025 14:00:00 +0000 2024 was a transformative year for the AI landscape. Venture funding surged past the $100B mark for the first time as AI infrastructure players pulled in billion-dollar investments. A wave of M&A deals and rapidly scaling AI unicorns further underscored …

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2024 was a transformative year for the AI landscape.

Venture funding surged past the $100B mark for the first time as AI infrastructure players pulled in billion-dollar investments. A wave of M&A deals and rapidly scaling AI unicorns further underscored the tech’s momentum.

Global AI funding hits record $100.4B in 2024

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of AI across exits, top investors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF AI 2024 REPORT

Get 160+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in AI.

Key takeaways include: 

  • Massive deals drive AI funding boom. AI funding hit a record $100.4B in 2024, with mega-rounds accounting for the largest share of funding we’ve tracked to date (69%) — reflecting the high costs of AI development. Quarterly funding surged to $43.8B in Q4’24, driven by billion-dollar investments in model and infrastructure players. At the same time, nearly 3 in 4 AI deals (74%) remain early-stage as investors look to get in on the ground floor of the AI opportunity. 
  • Industry tech sectors lose ground in AI deals. Vertical tech areas like fintech, digital health, and retail tech are securing a smaller percentage of overall AI deals (declining from a collective 38% in 2019 to 24% in 2024). The data suggests that companies focused on infrastructure and horizontal AI applications are drawing greater investor interest amid generative AI’s rise.
  • Outside of the US, Europe fields high-potential AI startup regions. While the US dominated AI funding (76%) and deals (49%) in 2024, countries in Europe show strong potential in AI development based on CB Insights Mosaic startup health scores. Israel leads with the highest median Mosaic score (700) among AI companies raising funding. 
  • AI M&A activity maintains momentum. The AI acquisition wave remained strong in 2024, with 384 exits nearly matching 2023’s record of 397. Europe-based startups represented over a third of M&A activity, cementing a 4-year streak of rising acquisitions among the region’s startups. 
  • AI startups race to $1B+ valuations despite early market maturity. The 32 new AI unicorns in 2024 represented nearly half of all new unicorns. However, AI unicorns haven’t built as robust of a commercial network as non-AI unicorns, per CB Insights Commercial Maturity scores, indicating their valuations are based more on potential than proven business models at this stage.
  • Tech leaders embed themselves deeper in the AI ecosystem. Major tech companies and chipmakers led corporate VC activity in AI during Q4’24, with Google (GV), Nvidia (NVentures), Qualcomm (Qualcomm Ventures), and Microsoft (M12) being the most active investors. This reflects the strategic importance of securing access to promising startups while providing them with essential technical infrastructure.

We dive into the trends below.

For more on key shifts in the AI landscape in 2025, check out this report on the implications of DeepSeek’s rise.

Massive deals drive AI funding boom

Globally, private AI companies raised a record $100.4B in 2024. At the quarterly level, funding soared to a record $43.8B in Q4’24, or over 2.5x the prior quarter’s total. 

The funding increase is largely explained by a wave of massive deals: mega-rounds ($100M+ deals) accounted for 80% of Q4’24 dollars and 69% of AI funding in 2024 overall.

The year featured 13 $1B+ deals, the majority of which went to AI model and infrastructure players. OpenAI, xAI, and Anthropic raised 4 out of the 5 largest rounds in 2024 as they burned through cash to fund the development of frontier models. 

Q4'24 sees AI funding catapult

Overall, the concentration of funding in mega-rounds reflects the high costs of AI development across hardware, staffing, and energy needs — and widespread investor enthusiasm around the AI opportunity. 

But that opportunity isn’t limited to the largest players: nearly 3 in 4 AI deals (74%) were early-stage in 2024. The share of early-stage AI deals has trended upward since 2021 (67%) as investors look to ride the next major wave of value creation in tech.

Industry tech sectors lose ground in AI deals

Major tech sectors — fintech, digital health, and retail tech — are making up a smaller percentage of AI deals.

Shrinking slice of AI investment pie

While the overall annual AI deal count has stayed steady above 4,000 since 2021, dealmaking in sectors like digital health and fintech has declined to multi-year lows. So, even as AI companies make up a greater share of the deals that do happen in these industries, the gains haven’t been enough to register in the broader AI landscape.

The data suggests that, amid generative AI’s ascendancy, AI companies targeting infrastructure and horizontal applications are drawing a greater share of deals. 

With billions of dollars flowing to the model/infra layer as well, investors appear to be betting that the economic benefits of the latest AI boom will accrue to the builders.  

Outside of the US, Europe fields high-potential AI startup regions

Although US-based companies captured 76% of AI funding in 2024, deal activity was more distributed across the globe. US AI startups accounted for 49% of deals, followed by Asia (23.2%) and Europe (22.9%). 

Comparing median CB Insights Mosaic scores (a measure of private tech company health and growth potential on a 0–1,000 scale) for AI companies that raised equity funding in 2024 highlights promising regional hubs. 

European countries dominate the top 10 countries by Mosaic score (outside of the US). Israel, which has a strong technical talent pool and established startup culture, leads the pack with a median Mosaic score of 700.

Promising regional AI startup hubs. European countries show strong potential in AI development outside US

Overall activity on the continent is dominated by early-stage deals, which accounted for 81% of deals to Europe-based startups in 2024, a 7-year high.

The European Union indicated in November that scaling startups is a top priority, pointing to the importance of increased late-stage private investment in remaining competitive on the global stage.

AI M&A activity maintains momentum

The AI M&A wave is in full force, with 2024’s 384 exits nearly reaching the previous year’s record-high 397.

Acquisitions of Europe-based startups accounted for over a third of AI M&A activity in 2024. Among the global regions we track, Europe is the only one that has seen annual AI acquisitions climb for 4 consecutive years. Although the US did see a bigger uptick YoY (16%) in 2024, posting 188 deals. 

In Europe, UK-based AI startups led activity in 2024, with 32 M&A deals, followed by Germany (18), France (16), and Israel (12). 

Major US tech companies, including Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Salesforce, participated in some of the largest M&A deals of the year as they embedded AI across their offerings.

Acquisitions of European AI startups heat up

 

AI startups race to $1B+ valuations despite early market maturity 

AI now dominates new unicorn creation. The 32 new AI unicorns in 2024 accounted for nearly half of all companies passing the $1B+ valuation threshold during the year. 

These AI startups are hitting unicorn status with much smaller teams and at much faster rates than non-AI startups: 203 vs. 414 employees at the median, and 2 years vs. 9 years at the median. 

These trends reflect the current AI hype — investors are placing big early bets on AI potential. Many of these unicorns are still proving out sustainable revenue models. We can see this clearly in CB Insights Commercial Maturity scores. More than half of the AI unicorns born in 2024 are at the validating/deploying stages of development, while non-AI new unicorns mostly had to get to at least the scaling stage before earning their unicorn status.

AI startups race to unicorn status pre-scale: share of new unicorns ($1B+ valuation) in 2024 by Commercial Maturity score

Tech leaders embed themselves deeper in the AI ecosystem

In Q4’24, the top corporate VCs in AI (by number of companies backed) were led by a string of notable names: Google (GV), Nvidia (NVentures), Qualcomm (Qualcomm Ventures), and Microsoft (M12). 

As enterprises rush to harness AI’s potential, big tech, chipmakers, and other enterprise tech players are building their exposure to promising companies along the AI value chain.

Meanwhile, startups are linking up with these players to not only secure funding for capital-intensive AI development but also access critical cloud infrastructure and chips.

Enterprise tech players and chipmakers lead CVC charge in AI

MORE AI RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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Here’s how leading strategy teams are successfully driving generative AI adoption in their organizations https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/corporate-strategy-generative-ai-adoption-success/ Thu, 16 Jan 2025 14:58:50 +0000 Generative AI is the leading tech priority for corporate strategy teams in the next year. But only 32% of strategy leaders report active genAI deployments at their organizations. To identify pain points and success stories for genAI adoption, we surveyed …

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Generative AI is the leading tech priority for corporate strategy teams in the next year.

But only 32% of strategy leaders report active genAI deployments at their organizations.

To identify pain points and success stories for genAI adoption, we surveyed 50 senior strategy leaders working at companies across major industries.

Download the full report to understand how leading strategy teams navigate genAI adoption, their key challenges, and the tactics separating successful implementations from stalled initiatives.

THE STRATEGY TEAM GENAI PLAYBOOK

Download the free report on how leading strategy teams are navigating genAI adoption, including their key challenges and tactics to overcome them.

The strategy playbook for genAI adoption

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State of Digital Health 2024 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/digital-health-trends-2024/ Thu, 16 Jan 2025 14:00:30 +0000 Despite a small bump in funding, global digital health dealmaking continued to decline year-over-year (YoY) in 2024. In fact, digital health deal count dropped to its lowest annual total since 2014, reflecting a more cautious investment environment. Mirroring trends in …

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Despite a small bump in funding, global digital health dealmaking continued to decline year-over-year (YoY) in 2024. In fact, digital health deal count dropped to its lowest annual total since 2014, reflecting a more cautious investment environment.

Mirroring trends in the broader venture market, AI proved to be a bright spot amid the downturn in digital health deals. In 2024, AI-focused companies secured 42% of digital health funding and accounted for 31% of deals — both record highs.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of digital health.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF DIGITAL HEALTH 2024 REPORT

Get the free report for analysis on dealmaking, funding, and exits by private market digital health companies.

Key takeaways from the report include:

  • Digital health dealmaking continues to decline. Despite a slight increase in funding YoY, digital health deal count dropped again in 2024, hitting its lowest annual total (1,225) since 2014. Regionally, Europe saw the sharpest drop in deals, with a 29% YoY decline.
  • Fewer deals, bigger checks. The median digital health deal size jumped 39% YoY to hit a record high of $5.3M in 2024. The combination of declining deal volume and larger deal sizes suggests that selective investors are concentrating their resources on companies that meet heightened benchmarks in areas like clinical validation, commercial traction, and regulatory readiness.
  • AI takes center stage in digital health. In 2024, AI-focused companies captured 42% of digital health funding and 31% of deals — both record highs. The 5 largest AI-focused digital health deals were spread across diagnostics, drug development, and women’s health.
  • Digital health mega-rounds rebound in 2024. Mega-rounds ($100M+ deals) increased in 2024 after 2 years of decline, with the top 3 deals focused on drug discovery and development. Most top deals (7 out of 10) went to US-based companies, pointing to the region’s position as a hub for high-value digital health investment.

We dive into the trends below.

Digital health dealmaking continues to decline

Following 2 years of decline, digital health funding increased slightly in 2024, rising by 3% YoY.

However, digital health deal count fell for the third year straight in 2024. It dropped by 23% YoY to reach just 1,225 — its lowest level since 2014 — highlighting that investors remain cautious.

Digital health deal count falls once again in 2024

Regionally, Europe saw the steepest drop, with deal count shrinking 29% YoY to 258, despite a modest funding increase to $2.8B. Asia also experienced a decline, with deal count falling 19% YoY to 218, alongside a funding drop to $0.8B. While still the most active market, the US recorded a 19% YoY decline in deal count to 683, even as funding climbed to $11.7B.

Fewer deals, bigger checks

While the overall deal count fell, the median digital health deal size surged in 2024.

It climbed by 39% YoY to reach $5.3M — a record high.

Median digital health deal size hits an all-time high in 2024

This combination of factors suggests that selective investors are prioritizing companies that meet heightened benchmarks in areas like clinical validation, commercial traction, and regulatory readiness.

AI takes center stage in digital health

AI is commanding a growing share of digital health investment activity.

AI-focused companies captured 42% of total digital health funding and 31% of deal volume in 2024 — both record highs. 

AI grows its share of digital health activity

This surge reflects heightened investor confidence in AI’s ability to accelerate drug discovery, improve early disease detection, deliver personalized care, and more.

The top 2 AI-focused digital health deals in 2024 went to drug development platform Xaira Therapeutics. Freenome followed with a $254M Series F to expand its AI-driven early cancer detection tools, while Flo Health secured a $200M Series C to scale its personalized women’s health platform. BioAge Labs rounded out the top 5 with a $170M Series D to advance its AI-powered aging-related treatments.

As AI adoption grows across healthcare operations — from clinical and administrative workflows to drug development — healthcare providers and pharmaceutical giants will likely pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to maintain their competitive edge.

Digital health mega-rounds rebound in 2024

Digital health mega-round activity rebounded in 2024 after 2 consecutive years of decline, with deal count rising by 50% YoY to 33.

The top 3 mega-rounds of 2024 all went to drug discovery and development companies

Xaira Therapeutics led the pack with two $500M rounds for its AI-driven drug discovery and development platform, followed by Formation Bio with a $372M Series D to advance its drug development efforts. 

Mega-rounds rebound in 2024, with the top deals in drug discovery and development

At the regional level, the US accounted for 7 of the top 10 mega-rounds in 2024, reflecting its position as a hub for high-value digital health investments. 

MORE DIGITAL HEALTH RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of Fintech 2024 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/fintech-trends-2024/ Tue, 14 Jan 2025 14:00:41 +0000 Fintech funding and dealmaking declined again year-over-year (YoY) in 2024, hitting their lowest levels in 7 years. However, some positive signals are emerging, including growing deal sizes and a pickup in M&A, with a focus on cybersecurity capabilities. Download the …

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Fintech funding and dealmaking declined again year-over-year (YoY) in 2024, hitting their lowest levels in 7 years.

However, some positive signals are emerging, including growing deal sizes and a pickup in M&A, with a focus on cybersecurity capabilities.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of fintech across sectors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF FINTECH 2024 REPORT

Get 200 pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in fintech.

Key takeaways from the report include:

  • Fintech dealmaking continues downward trend in 2024. Annual fintech deals and funding both dropped to 7-year lows in 2024. While deals dropped by 17% YoY to a total of 3,580, funding fell by 20% to $33.7B.
  • One positive signal: bigger deals. The median fintech deal size increased to $4M in 2024 — marking a 33% jump YoY — with deal sizes rising across every major global region. Across fintech sectors, the biggest jump occurred in banking, where the median deal size rose by 70% YoY to reach $8.5M. Though fintech saw fewer deals overall in 2024, the increase in deal sizes suggests that investors are writing bigger checks for companies with compelling growth potential.
  • M&A activity is also picking up. Fintech M&A exits jumped 24% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to 189 in Q4’24, with Stripe’s $1.1B purchase of stablecoin platform Bridge marking the quarter’s largest deal. Overall, fintech saw a total of 664 M&A exits in 2024 (up 6% YoY) as financial services companies sought to diversify their capabilities and build full-service platforms.
  • Mature banking companies are catching the eyes of investors. Banking saw mid- and late-stage deals rise to 38% of its total deal volume in 2024 (vs. 21% in 2023), outpacing the 4 percentage point increase in fintech more broadly. Uncertainty about new banking technology and regulatory volatility — particularly among banking-as-a-service players — is likely driving investors to more proven solutions.
  • Payments tech ends 2024 as a bright spot. Five of the top 10 equity deals in Q4’24 went to companies building payments solutions, from mobile payments apps to cross-border payments enablement tools to platforms digitizing B2B payments. This concentration of large deals within payments tech reflects the ongoing push to digitize commerce and business exchanges. 

We dive into the trends below.

Fintech dealmaking continues downward trend in 2024

In 2024, annual fintech funding and dealmaking both decreased YoY, hitting 7-year lows.

Fintech funding declines in 2024, though by a smaller percentage

However, there are signs that the fintech market is steadying. The annual decline in funding was fintech’s smallest in 3 years. Meanwhile, at the quarterly level, funding rebounded to close the year strong, increasing 11% QoQ to reach $8.5B in Q4’24.

One positive signal: bigger deals

While there are fewer fintech deals overall, deal sizes are climbing. 

Following 2 consecutive years of decline, the median deal size in fintech jumped 33% YoY in 2024.

Across fintech sectors, banking saw the biggest jump in median deal size in 2024 — a 70% YoY increase to $8.5M. 

Fintech deal sizes climb in 2024

This shift reflects increased investor selectivity in the current market. Companies that pass more rigorous due diligence are attracting larger investments, even as overall deal volume remains constrained.

M&A activity is also picking up

Fintech M&A deals jumped 24% QoQ in Q4’24. 

US-based companies captured 8 of the largest 10 deals, including the top 5. Stripe’s $1.1B acquisition of Bridge was the largest of the quarter.

M&A exits jump 24% QoQ in Q4'24

The quarterly increase points to broader stirrings of an M&A resurgence: for the year, fintech M&A exits rose by 6% YoY to 664 deals in 2024. 

Acquirers are boosting capabilities across functions. For instance, Stripe’s purchase of stablecoin platform Bridge gives the company a stronger standing in the reinvigorated market for digital assets and boosts its cross-border payment capabilities. The deal also emphasizes stablecoins’ growing role in driving accessibility and stability within crypto’s current wave.

Bolstering cybersecurity was also a focus for acquirers in Q4’24, pointing to financial services companies’ push to integrate fraud detection in their product offerings. For example, in November 2024, IT company N-able bought Adlumin, which deploys its solutions to financial firms, to enhance its cybersecurity capabilities. In October, Socure — specializing in digital identity verification — acquired Effectiv to enhance its AI-driven fraud detection capabilities.

Mature banking companies are catching the eyes of investors

Early-stage deals made up a larger share of fintech investment activity in 2022-23, suggesting that investors shifted their focus toward nascent innovation requiring smaller capital commitments during the market slowdown.

The trend shifted in 2024, particularly in the banking sector. While mid- and late-stage deal share rose by 4 percentage points YoY across fintech broadly, it jumped 17 percentage points in banking. 

Mid- and late-stage deal share rises in 2024, particularly in banking

Recent volatility in banking-as-a-service — such as Synapse’s bankruptcy in April — and intensified regulatory scrutiny are likely driving investors to more proven solutions.

Payments tech ends 2024 as a bright spot

Five of the 10 biggest fintech deals in Q4’24 went to payments companies, capping a relatively strong quarter for the sector. Despite a YoY decline, funding to payments companies rose by 20% QoQ to $1.8B in Q4’24.

Argentina-based mobile payments company Ualá secured a $300M Series E in Q4’24, tying home equity release firm Splitero for the largest round of the quarter.

Payments companies raise half of the largest rounds in Q4'24

Of the top payments deals, two went to companies automating accounts payable and other aspects of B2B payments (Melio and ASAAS). The opportunity to digitize B2B payments continues to expand, especially since businesses in many geographies still rely on manual processes.

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The foundation model divide: Mapping the future of open vs. closed AI development https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/future-of-foundation-models-open-source-closed-source/ Wed, 08 Jan 2025 20:08:44 +0000 This is part 1 of 2 in our series on the generative AI divide. In part 2, we will cover considerations for enterprise adoption of open & closed models.  The divide between open-source and closed-source AI models is reshaping tech …

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This is part 1 of 2 in our series on the generative AI divide. In part 2, we will cover considerations for enterprise adoption of open & closed models. 

The divide between open-source and closed-source AI models is reshaping tech industry dynamics. 

Tech leaders have staked out clear positions: Meta and xAI are open-sourcing models like Llama 3.1 and Grok-1, while Google and OpenAI have largely walled off their systems. Investment flows are also split between both approaches. Since 2020, private open-source AI model developers have attracted $14.9B in venture funding, while closed-source developers have secured $37.5B — reflecting different bets on how AI innovation will unfold.

The core difference lies in access: closed-source approaches keep model details and weights proprietary, while open-source development makes these elements available so models can be more freely studied, run, and adapted.

Open-source vs. closed-source model developers tearsheet

Companies building generative AI applications must understand this evolving landscape as it has crucial implications for the infrastructure they adopt. Based on current trends, we expect:

  1. Consolidation around frontier models: Closed-source models from players like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google will dominate the market. Only tech giants like Meta, Nvidia, and Alibaba are likely to sustain the costs of developing open-source models that can compete on performance with proprietary ones. Frontier model training costs are growing 2.4x annually, driven by hardware, staffing, and energy needs, according to Epoch AI.
  2. Revenue and investment gaps threaten open-source model developers’ viability: While burning cash, closed-source leaders like Anthropic and OpenAI lead the private market in funding, revenue, and commercial traction. Open-source developers face similar costs but struggle to generate revenue or attract capital investment ($14.9B vs. closed-source’s $37.5B since 2020). This suggests they will move to commercialize their closed models (e.g., Mistral AI) and/or pivot to smaller, specialized offerings (e.g., Aleph Alpha).   
  3. Smaller models drive open-source adoption: Industry leaders, alongside a range of smaller players, are releasing smaller, specialized open-source models, as evidenced by Microsoft‘s Phi, Google’s Gemma, and Apple‘s OpenELM. This suggests a two-tier market for enterprises evaluating the landscape: closed-source frontier models for the most sophisticated applications and open-source smaller models for edge and specialized use cases.

Below, we use CB Insights data to map out the open-source and closed-source AI landscape. Our analysis focuses on foundation models — the powerful, general-purpose AI systems that form a critical infrastructure layer.

CB Insights customers can track every company mentioned in this analysis using this search. We used the Generative AI — large language model (LLM) developers and Generative AI — image generation market profiles to establish the private market landscape, focusing on companies that have received funding and are developing foundation models. 

Get a download of foundation model developers

This Excel file includes funding, valuation data, and more for 30+ companies.

Table of contents

Consolidation around frontier models

  • Industry leaders are divided in their approaches
  • Closed-source developers lead the private market in equity funding
  • Performance gaps converge, with largest companies’ models topping leaderboard

Revenue and investment gaps threaten open-source model developers’ viability

  • OpenAI dominates LLM adoption and revenue, followed by Anthropic
  • Open-source’s path to revenue remains unclear
  • Investors hedge their bets

Smaller models drive open-source adoption

  • A wave of smaller foundation model players will move away from frontier model development
  • Market bifurcation accelerates

Consolidation around frontier models

Industry leaders are divided in their approaches 

Many big tech companies — like Google and Apple — are releasing a combination of open and closed models, typically keeping their flagship models proprietary while releasing lighter-weight open models as an extension of their research efforts.

Meta and Nvidia, meanwhile, are also open-sourcing flagship models. 

Table highlighting how big tech prioritizes closed flagship models while releasing lighter-weight open models

Note: When developers “open-source” AI models, they do so on a spectrum, publicly disclosing some combination or element of the: model weights (the learned parameters of a neural network, crucial for the model’s performance and capabilities as they encapsulate the knowledge acquired during training), underlying source code, and original training data. Open-sourcing may also involve licensing the model for free commercial use.

Open-source proponents are preparing for an open-source future

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg wrote in July that “Meta is committed to open source AI,” with the belief that an open ecosystem will eventually become the standard. On earnings calls, Meta is the most active big tech company in terms of open-source mentions. 

At the same time, Zuckerberg acknowledged in April on Dwarkesh Patel’s podcast that the company will only continue open-sourcing “as long as it’s helping us.” 

In July 2024, Meta released the model weights for its latest Llama model family so developers can fine-tune the model (train it on custom data). However, the source code and model architecture remain unavailable, limiting full modification or analysis. Meanwhile, Nvidia released both the model weights and training code for its NVLM 1.0 family of large multimodal language models in September 2024. 

Closed-source proponents view revenue as crucial for top resources and talent

For example, Baidu CEO Robin Li said in an internal memo that open-source models “make little sense.” From a business perspective, he noted, “Being closed source allows us to make money, and only by making money can we attract computational resources and talent.”

Safety remains central to the debate

Critics of open-source AI models fear they will be misused by malicious actors to access harmful information (like how to build a bomb or write code for a cyber attack). They also raise national security concerns, with critics suggesting foreign actors’ ability to use open-source models to advance military applications (like weapons systems and intelligence tech) will undermine strategic advantages held by countries that currently lead in AI development. 

Closed models use techniques like Reinforcement Learning by Human Feedback (RLHF) during fine-tuning to limit the harmful content the model can produce. Open models, meanwhile, are more likely to be deployed without these safeguards. 

On the other hand, open-source AI proponents argue, as highlighted in Mozilla’s Joint Statement on AI Safety and Openness with 1,800+ signatories, that increasing access to foundation models will ultimately make them safer, thanks to increased transparency, scrutiny, and knowledge sharing. 

Closed-source developers lead the private market in equity funding

The private market is also split, with closed developers leading in equity funding. 

While both Mistral AI and xAI are proponents of open-source, both of their flagship models are currently closed. 

The cost to develop frontier models — taking into account hardware, staffing, and energy consumption costs — is growing 2.4x per year. This is driving the fundraising race. 

Chart of leading LLM developers by equity funding

Performance gaps converge, with largest companies’ models topping leaderboard

Leading open-source models, like Meta’s largest Llama model, are making their way onto the MMLU leaderboard — a test that evaluates a language model’s knowledge and reasoning skills. The expanded version, MMLU-Pro, includes more challenging questions to assess advanced reasoning capabilities in AI models.

At the same time, proprietary models continue to outpace open-source ones by several months in terms of release dates. 

Leaderboard highlighting leading foundation models according to MMLU-Pro and MMLU benchmarks

The leaderboard itself is dominated by the largest companies in both big tech and the private market, indicating market consolidation at the frontier level. 

At this stage, a16z partner Marc Andreessen has posited we could be approaching a “race to the bottom” — a future point where there are no moats for foundation models, and open-source performance is on par with closed-source. This has come into focus in recent months as frontier labs like OpenAI and Google have focused on smaller model development and other products (like agents) as performance gains slow and as release dates for the largest models (such as a potential GPT-5) get pushed back.

Below we look at how revenue and adoption gaps in the private market also point to increasing consolidation.

Get a download of foundation model developers

This Excel file includes funding, valuation data, and more for 30+ companies.

Revenue and investment gaps threaten open-source model developers’ viability in the private market

OpenAI dominates LLM adoption and revenue, followed by Anthropic

As LLM developers burn through cash, the focus has shifted to customer adoption — and revenue. 

Based on CB Insights business relationship data, OpenAI is far ahead of its peers in terms of its disclosed partnerships and client relationships. 

This business relationship analysis is limited to publicly disclosed partnership, client, and licensing agreements for pure-play model developers to highlight adoption trends. Relationships are not exhaustive and are directionally representative of trends across model developers’ partner and client relationships.

OpenAI dominates LLM adoption based on disclosed business relationships

In terms of revenue, OpenAI leads, with projections of $3.7B in annual revenues for 2024 and $11.6B for 2025. However, it’s also been burning cash: the company projected midway through the year that it would lose $5B in 2024.

Table highlighting revenues of private foundation model developers, led by OpenAI

Open-source’s path to revenue remains unclear

While revenues for open-source model developers are not publicly available in most cases, reports suggest revenue generation is more limited — especially given the competition from Meta’s Llama.

The embattled Stability AI reportedly generated $8M in 2022 and less than $5M in the first quarter of 2024 (while losing over $30M). In June 2024, it secured an $80M funding deal that included the forgiveness of $100M in debts owed to cloud providers and other suppliers. 

Meanwhile, Mistral AI has an unclear path to revenue, per The Information reporting — it sells access to its API, and under 10% of its users pay for Mistral’s larger commercial models through partners. Most of its smaller, open-source models are free. 

Source: CB Insights — Mistral funding insight

Following the traditional approach to monetizing open-source businesses — building paid support offerings or tools (plugins, security, migration, apps on top) around the open-source core — some model developers are now building more enterprise capabilities into their platforms. 

For example, Databricks offers security and other paid support services around its open-source LLM, DBRX. Similarly, Aleph Alpha launched in August 2024 a “sovereign AI” platform designed to help corporations and governments deploy LLMs (not necessarily its own) with added control and transparency features to serve the European market. 

Investors hedge their bets

Most leading investors in private foundation model developers have backed companies developing both closed and open models.

Corporate investors figure heavily — Nvidia, Alibaba, and Microsoft, for example, have offered computing power and funds for development. These investments are aimed at feeding their core business focuses, such as AI chips and cloud computing. AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud all host both open and closed models.

Table highlighting leading investors in foundation model developers

Venture investors are taking sides:

  • Coatue, the leading VC by unique companies backed, has called open source “the heartbeat of AI.” It’s taking a complementary approach: “We see open-source models as firmly having a place alongside proprietary ones.”
  • a16z’s founders are proponents of open-source models, arguing that their transparency and accessibility will help ensure that AI is developed securely and ethically. In 2024, the two largest a16z-backed AI deals went to open-source LLM developers xAI and Mistral AI.
  • Meanwhile, Founders Fund partner John Luttig has argued that the future of foundation models is closed-source. Khosla Ventures’ Vinod Khosla (a backer of OpenAI) also argues in favor of closed-source AI for safety reasons. 

The investor split reflects uncertainty over which ecosystem will dominate and where the greatest value creation will occur. The relative difference in funding totals ($14.9B in equity funding to open-source model developers vs. $37.5B to closed-source), as well as the data available on revenue, suggests that a closed approach for private developers appears poised to win out, especially given the most performant open models at this point are from big tech leaders.

Smaller models drive open-source adoption

A wave of smaller foundation model players will move away from frontier model development 

The conditions of a) high compute costs, b) limited moats, and c) competition from big tech have created a market ripe for a shake-up.

We’re seeing a wave of smaller foundation model players:

  • Collapse into big tech: Adept, Inflection, and Character.AI have all essentially been “acqui-hired by big tech companies, with founders and large portions of teams joining the acquirers. These deals reflect the high costs of model development, with licensing payments often directed to investors. 
  • Paywall frontier models: Some open-source AI developers now sell access to premium models while keeping basic versions free — similar to strategies used by big tech. For example, Mistral AI’s flagship model Mistral Large is built for commercial use (not open-source) and is available on Azure in partnership with Microsoft.
  • Focus on smaller, open-source models: Developers like Germany-based Aleph Alpha and Israel-based AI21 Labs have shifted in 2024 from competing on general-purpose LLMs to building lighter-weight, optimized models and related AI tools. These models are open-source, with paid services layered on top.

Market bifurcation accelerates

Based on these trends, the AI model market is splitting into two tiers:

  • Frontier models are largely dominated by closed-source offerings from well-funded players (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google), which can sustain growing compute costs. Meta’s Llama remains the most notable open-source alternative.
  • Smaller models, optimized for specific use cases or edge deployment, are supported by a growing open-source ecosystem. These small language models (SLMs) have fewer parameters than LLMs, making them cheaper to train and easier to run.

Industry leaders are releasing smaller, open-source models to advance research efforts and to promote edge applications: Google with Gemma, Microsoft with Phi, and Apple with OpenELM. 

For example, Microsoft highlighted in a recent earnings call: 

“We have also built the world’s most popular SLMs, which offer performance comparable to larger models but are small enough to run on a laptop or mobile device. Anker, Ashley, AT&T, EY, and Thomson Reuters, for example, are all already exploring how to use our SLM Phi for their applications.” — Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, Q2’24 Earnings Call  

Meanwhile, of the 11 private SLM development platforms we identified, roughly half are already in the process of deploying their products.

Smaller, open models are also gaining traction in sectors like financial services and healthcare, where keeping sensitive data on-premises can be a need.

For example, a VP of machine learning at a health insurance company needed a solution for training healthcare models and looked to Hugging Face’s open-source library. In our May 2024 conversation, the buyer highlighted the opportunity of SLMs for their use case:


“I really think small language models are the future. You don’t need these huge proprietary LLMs for the vast, vast majority of use cases that you’re dealing with, especially some of the administrative burden in healthcare that we deal with.”


VP of Machine Learning,
Publicly traded multinational health insurance company

 

For now, it’s clear a hybrid approach is winning with enterprises: they will look to closed-source frontier models for the most sophisticated applications and open-source smaller models for edge and specialized use cases.

 

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State of Venture 2024 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/venture-trends-2024/ Tue, 07 Jan 2025 15:00:28 +0000 AI has reshaped the venture landscape, capturing a record share of funding (37%) and deals (17%) in 2024, including 5 of the year’s largest deals. But beyond the momentum building in AI, global deal activity plunged 19% YoY to its …

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AI has reshaped the venture landscape, capturing a record share of funding (37%) and deals (17%) in 2024, including 5 of the year’s largest deals.

The AI arms race reshapes venture activity, capturing 37% of funding and 17% of deals in 2024

But beyond the momentum building in AI, global deal activity plunged 19% YoY to its lowest level since 2016, creating both challenges and opportunities for investors and corporate strategists.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of venture across sectors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF VENTURE 2024 REPORT

Get 270+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest trends in venture capital.

Key takeaways from the report include:

AI is eating VC. In 2024, AI represented 37% of venture funding and 17% of deals — both all-time highs. AI infrastructure players raised all of the top 5 venture deals of the year, with 4 closing in Q4’24 alone — driving a 2-year high in quarterly funding. With nearly 3 in 4 (74%) AI deals being early-stage in 2024, investors are staking out early claims to reap the rewards of the tech’s potential.

Aside from AI, venture dealmaking is in a drought. Globally, deal activity fell 19% YoY to 27K in 2024 — its lowest annual level since 2016. The drop was most pronounced in countries like China (-33% YoY), Canada (-27%), and Germany (-23%). However, several countries in Asia — Japan, India, and South Korea — have bucked the downward trend. Their resilience suggests attractive investment conditions.

AI and industrial automation are common themes among the fastest-growing tech markets. Out of 1,400+ tech markets that CB Insights tracks, those with the highest rate of YoY deal growth include enterprise AI agents, genAI for customer support, industrial humanoid robots, and autonomous driving systems. Expect these technologies to continue maturing in 2025, increasing their disruptive potential.

Despite market uncertainty, early-stage valuations hit a record-high median of $25M in 2024. Investors are packing into early-stage rounds to ride the next major wave of value creation in tech, likely drawn by startups’ ability to now build products with less capital and fewer people thanks to AI tools and infrastructure. However, early-stage startups could face a reality check when they try to raise later-stage rounds if they have yet to prove they can sustain growth. Although mid- and late-stage deal valuations rebounded slightly vs. 2023, they remain muted compared to 2021 and 2022.

IPO timelines get delayed. From first funding to IPO, VC-backed companies that went public in 2024 waited a median of 7.5 years — 2 years longer than in 2022. Amid unfavorable market conditions, some late-stage players like Stripe and Databricks have resorted to raising additional equity funding or selling private shares in lieu of going public. This allows them to create liquidity for early investors and employees when the path to a public debut is rocky.

We dive into each trend below.

AI is eating VC

The 5 largest deals of the year all went to AI model and infrastructure players (led by Databricks’ $10B Series J, followed by a $6.6B round for OpenAI, two $6B rounds for xAI, and a $4B round for Anthropic). But the activity isn’t limited to the largest, most well-resourced AI players. 

Across the board, AI companies are capturing a higher share of deal volume — nearly one in 5 deals (17%) now go to AI companies, almost triple the share from 2015 (6%). AI deal volume remained above 4,000 for the fourth year in a row. 

The boom is providing tailwinds for every stage of the startup lifecycle, from early-stage companies — which take 3 out of 4 deals in AI — to startup exits. The AI M&A wave is in full force, with 2024’s 384 exits nearly rivaling the previous year’s record-high 397.

This trend will continue in 2025 as incumbents look to grab AI tech and talent and build end-to-end AI offerings. Get the full breakdown of what AI M&A means for corporate strategy in our Tech Trends 2025 report.

Q4'24 sees a funding rebound, up 53% QoQ to $86.2B

In Q4’24, the AI boom helped fuel a substantial rebound in global funding. The quarter’s funding tally reached $86.2B — a 2-year high, and an increase of 53% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ).

60% of that quarterly total, or $52B, came from mega-rounds (deals worth $100M+) — nearly tying Q1’21 (61%) for the highest share ever across venture. 

At the same time, quarterly deal volume steadily declined throughout 2024, including slipping below 6,000 in Q4’24 for the first time since 2016.

Aside from AI, venture dealmaking is in a drought

Global deal volume hits an 8-year low of 27K deals in 2024

Despite AI’s surge, most venture sectors face their worst dealmaking drought in nearly a decade, forcing investors to adjust their strategies. Many investors are taking a more selective and risk-off approach right now as they wait out macroeconomic volatility and geopolitical tensions.

Among major dealmaking countries and regions (those seeing 500+ deals per year), the slump was most pronounced in China (-33% YoY drop in deals), Canada (-27%), and Germany (-23%). 

However, several countries in Asia bucked the trend and notched slim YoY gains: Japan (+2%), India (+1%), and South Korea (+1%). These countries have invested heavily in developing their startup ecosystems and may be benefiting indirectly from investors diverting funds away from China.

AI and industrial automation are common themes among the fastest-growing tech markets

AI and industrial automation are at the center of some of the fastest-growing markets in tech.

We filtered CB Insights’ 1,400+ tech markets for those with at least 20 equity deals over the last 2 years, then singled out those with the strongest deal growth YoY in 2024.

The fastest-growing tech markets by deal growth revolve around AI and industrial automation

The enterprise tech and industrials sectors dominate, comprising 9 of the top 10 tech markets. Advancements in generative AI are fueling much of the activity in areas like humanoid robots and autonomous driving systems. Investors are also backing tech companies improving industrial processes like water treatment and purification, with deals to the market more than doubling YoY.

The enterprise tech and industrials sectors are also seeing a wave of hiring, as they lead in YoY headcount growth among all sectors. Industrials markets saw an average of 11% headcount growth last year, followed by enterprise tech markets with 10%. 

Financial services and the consumer & retail industries are noticeably absent from the top 10 fastest-growing markets. Given the tough venture landscape, emerging technologies in these areas face an uphill battle.

Early-stage deals are showing strength

Globally, early-stage dealmaking represents one of the most vibrant areas of venture right now, with median deal size and valuation reaching all-time highs in 2024.

Early-stage deals show strength in 2024, with deal sizes and valuations reaching record highs

The seed/angel and Series A stages remain resilient despite the broader downturn, in part because investors view them as a safe haven to ride out late-stage challenges like constricted exit opportunities and capital constraints. Deal sizes and valuations for the mid- and late stages rebounded slightly vs. 2023 but were muted when compared to the boom times of 2021 and 2022.

Corporate strategy and development teams seeking out early-stage opportunities can see 900+ high-potential startups here. To identify these players, we looked at the nearly 11,000 VC-backed startups that raised seed or Series A rounds in 2024, then filtered for those with the healthiest businesses (600+ Mosaic score) and strongest management teams (600+ Management Mosaic score).

IPO timelines get delayed

VC-backed startups wait a median of 7.5 years from first funding to IPO in 2024

Most tech firms continue to shirk the IPO market. Some are still waiting for macroeconomic conditions to stabilize, while others prefer to focus on topline growth without having to deal with the financial scrutiny that comes with being a public company.

This is pushing back the timelines for IPO-ready companies even further. 

From first funding to IPO, VC-backed companies that went public in 2024 waited a median of 7.5 years — 2 years longer than in 2022.

While Q4’24 saw an uptick in global IPOs, activity remains down vs. historical levels. In the current climate, many late-stage startups will likely opt instead to raise more private funding to sustain operations and pay out employees or early investors.

Related resources from CB Insights:

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$1B+ Market Map: The world’s 1,249 unicorn companies in one infographic https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/unicorn-startups-valuations-headcount-investors/ Tue, 10 Dec 2024 22:00:30 +0000 Becoming a unicorn remains a rare phenomenon in the startup world. Just 24 companies passed the $1B valuation threshold last quarter — a fraction of the 100+ unicorns minted each quarter from 2021 through early 2022. But the overall slowdown …

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Becoming a unicorn remains a rare phenomenon in the startup world. Just 24 companies passed the $1B valuation threshold last quarter — a fraction of the 100+ unicorns minted each quarter from 2021 through early 2022.

But the overall slowdown only tells part of the story. Within this smaller pool of new billion-dollar companies, AI startups have come to dominate, comprising 44% of new unicorns this year — a 7x increase in share over the last decade.

Here’s what today’s unicorn landscape signals about the future of tech:

  • AI dominates new unicorn creation — 2024 has seen 72 companies become unicorns, and 32 of these (44%) are AI startups. These AI players are reaching unicorn status far faster (median of 2 years) than non-AI companies (median of 9 years). As AI capabilities advance at a rapid pace — across domains from intelligent robotics to coding AI agents — corporations that delay AI adoption risk falling behind their competitors.
  • Valuations are under pressure — Over one-third of the 1,200+ current unicorns haven’t raised funding since 2021, and over 100 of these companies were last valued at exactly $1B — meaning a down round would take their unicorn status away altogether. These represent potentially distressed assets that cash-rich incumbents and corporate development teams would want to snap up.
  • Next in line for an exit — Among today’s unicorns, 110 stand out with IPO probabilities above 20% (anywhere from 31x to 64x that of the average company we track). Another 25 have equally high M&A probability scores, making them prime acquisition targets for incumbents looking to expand their tech and market reach.

FREE DOWNLOAD: GET THE DATA ON 1,000+ UNICORNS

Dive into valuations, industries, select investors, and more for the world’s 1,000+ unicorns.

Market map of billion-dollar startups

Unicorn market map

On paper, today’s unicorns are collectively worth over $4T

However, it’s unlikely that many of these 1,200+ companies are worth as much as their latest valuation, given how dramatically the venture landscape has changed since the heady days of 2021/22. Since then, tighter capital markets have applied downward pressure on public and private tech company valuations alike.

Over one-third of current unicorns haven’t raised a funding round since 2021. If they were to raise in today’s climate, they’d likely face a valuation cut. That includes over 100 unicorns that were last valued at exactly $1B — meaning any valuation reduction would strip them of their unicorn status.

With venture funding at its lowest level since 2016/17, unicorns in need of cash are likely considering an exit. Some have been waiting years for the IPO market to open up so they can access capital and compensate employees without further diluting their business. Others will need to accept sales at discounted prices.

Unicorns most likely to exit via IPO or M&A

The 110 unicorns most likely to IPO next, alongside 25 unicorns most likely to get acquired next

Per CB Insights’ Exit Probability scores — which measure a company’s likelihood to exit in the next 2 years, based on 70+ data points — a select cohort of unicorns emerges as the most likely candidates for IPO and M&A. 

110 unicorns have a 20% or higher chance of IPO’ing in the next 2 years — anywhere from 31x to 64x the likelihood of the average company we track. Recent tech IPOs have performed well relative to the cold snap of 2022/23, particularly for companies benefiting from the AI boom. This will likely open the doors to other IPO hopefuls like Klarna, which is reportedly considering debuting as soon as H1’25.

A smaller segment of unicorns has an M&A exit probability of 20%+ (from 2x to 5x the average). This includes unicorns like AI data company Tresata (38% M&A probability) and fleet management & telematics provider Radius (33%), both of which have faced headcount reductions over the last year.

These acquisition targets could offer incumbents a way to quickly add new tech and talent as well as expand their customer base and market reach.

AI has become a unicorn factory

The current AI boom is a driving force behind new unicorn creation. 

AI share of total unicorns year-over-year

In 2024 so far, 44% of new unicorns have been AI companies. This is by far the highest share that AI has seen over the past decade, representing over 7x growth during that time (from 6% in 2015).

What’s more, these AI startups are hitting unicorn status with 1) much smaller teams and 2) at much faster rates.

Among new unicorns in 2024, the median AI unicorn has just 203 employees and reached unicorn status in 2 years from its founding date. For comparison, the median non-AI company to become a unicorn did so with double the team size (414 employees) and a much longer life-span (9 years).

New AI unicorns are passing the $1B+ threshold far faster and with far smaller teams

The size of these AI teams — and the speed with which they attain unicorn status — points to several underlying factors. For one, today’s AI startups may be able to do more with less — they can use their AI expertise to automate certain functions and scale faster with less staffing than a non-AI company. 

But there’s a likely bigger factor at play: With the current pace of AI advances, alongside the sheer amount of AI hype, AI startups are able to earn investors’ attention earlier and with less to show for their business than non-AI companies. The AI opportunity means many of these startups can bank on fast revenue growth, though it’s unclear how sustainable that is — or when, if ever, that revenue will translate into profit. 

Nevertheless, the breadth of the AI opportunity — across industries, business models, and audiences — means that there is still plenty of white space for these startups to carve out niches.

Among this year’s new unicorns, some of the smallest AI teams include:

  • World Labs: 18 employees (founded 2024, valued at $1B)
  • Skild AI: 19 employees (founded 2023, valued at $1.5B)
  • Sakana AI: 34 employees (founded 2023, valued at $1.5B)
  • Cognition AI: 49 employees (founded 2023, valued at $2B)
  • Poolside: 75 employees (founded 2023, valued at $3B)

Notably, these startups point to several emerging areas of opportunity in AI:

Intelligent robotics and embodied AI — Both World Labs and Skild AI are working toward making AI systems that can better understand and interact with the physical world. This is also an area where OpenAI is getting involved, via investments in other unicorns like Figure and Physical Intelligence.

Coding AI agents & copilots — Cognition AI and Poolside both focus on automating software engineering. Equity funding to coding AI agents & copilots has exploded this year, nearly tripling to reach $1.8B.

RELATED RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS:

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Digital Health 50: The most promising digital health startups of 2024 https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/digital-health-startups-redefining-healthcare-2024/ Tue, 03 Dec 2024 14:00:22 +0000 CB Insights has unveiled the winners of the 2024 Digital Health 50 — a list of the world’s 50 most promising private digital health companies, selected based on a combination of data signals and proprietary scoring. For health system CIOs, …

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CB Insights has unveiled the winners of the 2024 Digital Health 50 — a list of the world’s 50 most promising private digital health companies, selected based on a combination of data signals and proprietary scoring.

For health system CIOs, digital health investors, and life sciences executives, this list spotlights companies to explore for technology adoption, investment opportunities, and strategic partnerships as healthcare shifts toward AI-driven infrastructure, advanced diagnostics, and specialized care platforms.

Four key themes emerged from this year’s cohort:

    • AI will become foundational to infrastructure across healthcare, as evidenced by 36 of the 50 companies building AI products, from insurance claim copilots (Alaffia Health) to specialized healthcare LLMs (Hippocratic AI). These startups reflect the start of a broader shift for AI from powering point solutions to becoming an essential part of healthcare delivery for patients.
    • Diagnostic innovations continue to dominate, representing the most crowded category on last year’s list and tying for the largest category this year, with 11 companies developing tools across imaging (Airs Medical), pathology (Proscia), and non-invasive diagnostics (Alimetry). These next-generation diagnostics look to make testing more accessible and non-invasive while prioritizing early detection.
    • Virtual and hybrid care companies more than doubled in this year’s cohort, with 11 companies in this category, up from 5 last year. The increase reflects the growing number of specialized platforms in areas including mental health (Talkiatry) and cancer care (Resilience), signaling the shift from general telemedicine toward condition-specific virtual care models.
    • Workflow efficiency emerges as a key priority heading into 2025, with 19 companies streamlining administrative and clinical tasks, from medical document processing (Tennr) to ambient documentation (Abridge). The surge of automation solutions here signals that healthcare organizations will prioritize efficiency amid staffing shortages to help shift provider time from paperwork to patient care. 

CB Insights 2024 Digital Health 50: Administrative workflow optimization, drug discovery, D2C health testing, clinical trials tech, price transparency. diagnostics and imaging, clinical intelligence, virtual & hybrid care

Our selection of winning companies followed a rigorous three-step process.

From a pool of 10,000+ digital health startups, we analyzed companies using CB Insights’ proprietary metrics — Commercial Maturity and Mosaic scores — along with additional data on partnerships, funding, patents, leadership, and headcount.

Companies with high Mosaic scores (> 500) and recent market activity advanced to our shortlist of 1,500 candidates. We supplemented this analysis with direct company submissions via Analyst Briefings.

Our analysts then evaluated strategic partnerships, market adoption, and growth metrics to identify the 50 most promising digital health companies.

GET a list of the 2024 digital health 50 Winners

This Excel file includes funding and investor data for the entire Digital Health 50.

2024 DIGITAL HEALTH 50 COHORT HIGHLIGHTS 

Funding and deals

2024 funding tops $1.5B for Digital Health 50 winners: Disclosed equity funding and deals (as of 11/14/2024)

The 2024 Digital Health 50 companies have raised $3.5B across 171 disclosed equity deals (as of 11/14/2024). Monogram Health and Abridge lead the cohort in disclosed equity funding, with $555M and $208M, respectively.

In 2024 so far, the cohort has raised $1.6B across 47 disclosed equity deals. The largest deals include:

The recipients of these top deals are largely focused on 2 AI applications: streamlining clinical documentation (Abridge and Ambience) and accelerating drug discovery (Superluminal Medicines and CytoReason).

Stage breakdown

Fifty-six percent of the 2024 Digital Health 50 companies are early-stage (seed or Series A). In comparison, 44% of winners are mid-stage (primarily Series B or C) companies.

Top investors

Andreessen Horowitz leads VC investors (including CVCs) in the number of 2024 Digital Health 50 winners backed (8). Its investments span various areas within digital health, including:

Andreessen Horowitz is followed by BoxGroup, General Catalyst, and NVentures (Nvidia’s venture arm), each with 5 winners backed. 

All 5 of NVentures’ portfolio companies are building AI products. They are split between clinical intelligence (Hippocratic AI, Abridge, Artisight) and drug discovery (Iambic Therapeutics, Superluminal Medicines).

Healthcare systems and other big tech players are also active investors in the 2024 Digital Health 50. Mayo Clinic, Memorial Hermann, and Google Ventures have each invested in 3 companies on this year’s list.

2024 Digital Health 50: Top venture investors by disclosed number of winners backed

Geographic distribution

This year’s Digital Health 50 companies are headquartered across 9 countries. Most companies (36) are based in the United States.

Germany has the largest representation outside of the US — 3 companies are headquartered in the country. It is followed by Canada, Israel, South Korea, and the United Kingdom, each with 2 companies. 

Additional countries represented include New Zealand, Belgium, and France, each with 1 company.

Headcount growth

The 2024 Digital Health 50 companies collectively employ more than 7,500 people, with 4 companies employing about 40% of the cohort’s workers: Grow Therapy, Nourish, Monogram Health, and Octave

Three companies — Tennr, Nourish, and Pomelo Care — have demonstrated the strongest headcount growth over the past year, with 12-month (September 2023–2024) headcount increases of 320%, 250%, and 244%, respectively. 

This year’s winners collectively created more than 2,900 jobs over the period, with Grow Therapy creating the most jobs (800).

The median 2024 Digital Health 50 winner has raised $487K in equity funding per employee. Superluminal Medicines leads the pack, raising $8.1M per employee, followed by Chai Discovery ($4.3M) and Iambic Therapeutics ($2.6M).

2024 Digital Health 50: Top companies by equity funding per employee

Company health

The average Mosaic score — a proprietary measure of private company health and growth potential — for the 2024 Digital Health 50 is 771 out of 1,000 (as of 11/14/2024). 

Forty companies in this year’s cohort have a Mosaic score of 700 or higher, placing them among the top 4% of private companies tracked by CB Insights. 

Midi and Nourish lead the cohort with the highest scores — 932 and 887, respectively.

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15 tech trends to watch closely in 2025 https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/top-tech-trends-2025/ Tue, 19 Nov 2024 15:43:16 +0000 AI advances have ushered in a new wave of opportunity in tech. Our 2025 Tech Trends report provides a concrete roadmap for corporate leaders to navigate some of the most important technology shifts in the year ahead. We include specific …

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AI advances have ushered in a new wave of opportunity in tech.

Our 2025 Tech Trends report provides a concrete roadmap for corporate leaders to navigate some of the most important technology shifts in the year ahead.

We include specific recommendations for action so that business leaders can get ahead of the next wave of value creation.

15 TECH TRENDS TO WATCH CLOSELY IN 2025

Get the free report to see which tech markets and companies should be on your radar in the coming year.

Here is a selection of key findings from the report:

  • AI agents are given money to spend: AI agents’ utility is limited until they can make transactions seamlessly. A small group of tech players is building new infrastructure to make that happen.
  • The future data center arrives: With data center power usage expected to more than double by 2026, big tech companies are morphing into energy innovators to support AI workloads. There’s a huge opportunity in improving data centers’ energy efficiency.
  • Investment floodgates open for RNA therapeutics: RNA therapeutics developers are pioneering new ways to treat traditionally “undruggable” diseases, with a growing focus on neurodegenerative disorders like Alzheimer’s and Huntington’s diseases.
  • AI M&A fuels the next wave of corporate strategy: AI’s share of corporate tech M&A has doubled since 2020. Tech incumbents like Nvidia, Salesforce, and Snowflake, as well as consultancies like Accenture, are rapidly acquiring AI startups to tap into enterprise demand. 
  • Disease management enters a new phase with AI: AI is improving care delivery across 3 key areas of disease management: precise symptom evaluation; testing/screening for earlier disease detection (including before symptoms even appear); and finding at-risk individuals in datasets of entire patient populations. 
  • Retail’s personalization imperative: Generative AI is unlocking 1:1 experiences across commerce touchpoints, with leaders like Target seeing a corresponding 3x boost in conversation rates. Personalization will become omnipresent in retailers’ offerings.
  • And much more
Methodology

Our analysis relies on a wide range of CB Insights datasets, including financing and acquisition data, valuations, founding team and key people data, earnings transcripts, and more. We also leverage CB Insights’ proprietary scoring algorithms to measure business health (Mosaic) and maturity (Commercial Maturity), as well as the likelihood of acquisition (M&A Probability score). Throughout the report, we provide CB Insights customers with jumping-off points to dig deeper into the data behind the report.

CB Insights Tech Trends 2025 Report

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State of Insurtech Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/insurtech-trends-q3-2024/ Thu, 14 Nov 2024 14:00:36 +0000 Global insurtech funding held steady at $1.4B for the second consecutive quarter in Q3’24. However, unlike the prior quarter, most of the funding came from just 5 mega-rounds (deals worth $100M+). Q3’24 also saw the most selective dealmaking environment in …

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Global insurtech funding held steady at $1.4B for the second consecutive quarter in Q3’24. However, unlike the prior quarter, most of the funding came from just 5 mega-rounds (deals worth $100M+).

Q3’24 also saw the most selective dealmaking environment in years, although there were notable bright spots — in the early stages of funding, in the life & health insurance segment, and among France’s insurtechs.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of insurtech across sectors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF INSURTECH Q3’24 REPORT

Get 70+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in insurtech.

Below, we cover key shifts in the landscape, including:

Quarterly insurtech funding holds mostly steady from Q2’24, at $1.4B. In Q3, the funding was evenly split across both P&C and life & health (L&H) segments — one of just 3 quarters since 2020 where L&H insurtechs have rivaled P&C for quarterly funding.

Insurtech fared better in Q3’24 than the broader venture environment, which saw funding decrease 20% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). In fact, on a year-over-year basis, insurtech funding grew in Q3 by 27%.

Global insurtech funding holds steady in Q3'24

A majority of insurtech funding goes to $100M+ mega-round deals for the first time since Q3’22. Q3’24 saw mega-round funding and deals — $0.8B across 5 deals — surge to a 2-year high.

Altana AI, which offers a supply chain risk platform, raised the largest insurtech equity deal in 2024 so far ($200M Series C) from investors including Google Ventures and Salesforce Ventures. The deal valued Altana AI at $1B, making it the first new insurtech unicorn of 2024 so far. Insurtechs that offer Medicare Advantage plans raised 2 of the other mega-round deals, Devoted Health ($112M Series E) and Zing Health ($140M Series A).

Q3'24 insurtech mega-rounds amounts to $0.8B — 55% of quarterly funding

Insurtech deal count falls to an 8-year low. Q3’24 saw global insurtech deal count decline to 77, falling 10% QoQ and 42% YoY. Q2’16 was the last quarter to see fewer insurtech deals (60). 

Even so, the drop is in line with a broader decline in venture dealmaking. Also, across insurtech and the broader venture environment, the percentage of deals by deal stage (i.e., early, mid-, late, or other) has been without drastic swings in recent years.

Insurtech deal count falls to an 8-year low

The median early-stage insurtech deal size has reached a record high, increasing from $2.5M in 2023 to $4M in 2024 so far. This signals that investors remain bullish on early-stage dealmaking despite the broader decline in funding and deals. 

Comparatively, the median early-stage insurtech deal size only reached $3M in 2022 amid the venture funding boom.

Three of the 10 largest insurtech deals in Q3’24 were early-stage.

Early-stage insurtech deal sizes reach a record-high in 2024 so far

France-based insurtechs raise 83% of Europe’s insurtech funding in Q3. Five France-based insurtechs raised a combined $385M in Q3’24, including mega-round deals for health insurer Alan ($193M Series F) and pricing platform Akur8 ($120M Series C). 

Globally, only insurtechs from France and the US appeared among the 10 largest insurtech deals of the quarter.

France-based startups raise 83% of Q3'24 insurtech funding in Europe

RELATED RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS:

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State of Climate Tech Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/climate-tech-trends-q3-2024/ Thu, 07 Nov 2024 14:00:34 +0000 Q3’24 saw climate tech funding and deals reach their lowest points in 4 years. Despite the declines, global regions like the US and Europe have made gains in median deal sizes this year, and both the US and EU continue …

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Q3’24 saw climate tech funding and deals reach their lowest points in 4 years.

Despite the declines, global regions like the US and Europe have made gains in median deal sizes this year, and both the US and EU continue to provide government grants and loans to climate tech solutions. China, on the other hand, has rolled back some of its clean energy subsidies, and VC enthusiasm has waned in the country this year.

Globally, governments are focusing more on early-stage technologies that are ready for commercialization. Two prime examples in the US are nuclear fusion energy and direct air capture of CO2, both of which have received substantial funding from the US Department of Energy this year.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of climate tech across sectors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF CLIMATE TECH Q3’24 REPORT

Get 140+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in climate tech.

Below, we cover key shifts in Q3’24.

  • Climate tech funding falls to $4.8B in Q3’24, marking the lowest point since Q2’20. Venture capital has shifted away from the sector as high interest rates impact climate tech’s capital-intensive projects and as investors pivot toward AI, which tends to feature more rapid developments and shorter commercialization timelines.

  • M&A activity drops dramatically in Q3’24, with only 43 deals completed — a more than 50% decline from the previous quarter. While notable exits like Kyte Powertech ($277M valuation) and SRE Power ($72M) suggest a steady appetite for grid infrastructure solutions, the overall slowdown signals a more selective M&A environment, potentially limiting exit opportunities for highly valued climate tech companies.

  • US and European deal sizes show resilience despite the slowdown in global funding. In the US, the median deal size has reached $6M in 2024 YTD (up from $4.3M in 2023), while Europe’s median deal size has grown to $4.9M (up from $3.7M in 2023), indicating sustained investor confidence in these markets.

  • Despite declines in overall climate tech funding, companies commercializing solutions in carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) continue to secure significant capital, as demonstrated by Twelve‘s $200M Series C round in September. Twelve is using the funding to finish building its Washington state facility, where it will produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) that it claims can deliver up to 90% emissions reduction compared to conventional jet fuel.

Source: CB Insights — Twelve Funding Insights

  • Electric vehicle technology funding reaches a critical low of $0.6B in Q3’24, marking its lowest point since early 2020. However, the sector still attracted notable deals, including 24M Technologies‘ $87M Series H round at a $1.3B valuation, pointing to selective investor appetite for more mature EV tech companies.

More energy resources from CB insights:

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State of CVC Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/corporate-venture-capital-trends-q3-2024/ Thu, 31 Oct 2024 13:00:57 +0000 In Q3’24, global CVC-backed funding fell 5% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to $15.7B — alongside a 10% decline in deals — as investors navigated persistent macroeconomic headwinds from global inflation pressures and elevated interest rates to China’s economic challenges. Despite these declines, …

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In Q3’24, global CVC-backed funding fell 5% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to $15.7B — alongside a 10% decline in deals — as investors navigated persistent macroeconomic headwinds from global inflation pressures and elevated interest rates to China’s economic challenges.

Despite these declines, $100M+ mega-rounds comprised 51% of total CVC-backed funding in Q3’24, a notable increase from a quarterly average of 37% in 2023. Meanwhile, two-thirds of CVC deals this year have gone to early-stage companies, highlighting a strategic shift toward more emerging opportunities, especially in AI.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF CVC Q3’24 REPORT

Get 110+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest trends in corporate venture capital.

Based on our deep dive in the full report, here is the TL;DR on the state of CVC:

  • ​​Global CVC-backed funding drops 5% to $15.7B in Q3’24. Nevertheless, that figure is still the second-highest quarterly level since the beginning of 2023. Meanwhile, a 10% QoQ decline to 773 deals — the lowest total since 2018 — suggests that CVCs are increasingly selective, similar to the wider venture market.

Global CVC-backed funding drops 5% QoQ to $15.7B

  • The average CVC-backed deal size has increased 31% so far this year to $27.1M, highlighting investors’ willingness to take risks when they find the right opportunity. However, the median deal size remains the same as last year at $8M, signaling that investors are only more aggressive regarding the largest deals.

CVCs are more aggressive with the largest rounds as average CVC-backed deal size jumps 31%

  • Funding to CVC-backed mega-rounds (deals worth $100M+) represents 51% of total funding in Q3’24. This percentage — roughly in line with the first 2 quarters of 2024 — is up significantly from an average of 37% in 2023, further suggesting that investors are currently willing to make large bets when they decide to invest.
  • Early-stage rounds represent 66% of total CVC deal share this year, the highest level in over a decade. CVCs are increasingly focused on early-stage startups, likely driven by the record levels of AI funding and the fact that, across investor types, 72% of deals to AI companies this year are early-stage.

Early-stage deal share hits its highest level in over a decade among CVCs

  • CVC-backed funding in the US ticks up to $10.5B. Among major global regions, the US continued to lead in CVC-backed funding in Q3’24, followed by Europe at $2.6B and Asia at $1.3B. Within the US, defense tech provider Anduril raised the largest CVC-backed deal with its $1.5B Series F round (CVC investors include Franklin Venture Partners), followed by AI chip developer Groq with its $640M Series D round (backed by Samsung Catalyst).

MORE VENTURE RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of AI Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/ai-trends-q3-2024/ Tue, 29 Oct 2024 13:00:04 +0000 In Q3’24, global AI deal count skyrocketed 24% QoQ to reach 1,245 — its highest quarterly level since peaking in Q1’22. This contrasted sharply with activity in the broader venture sphere, where deal count fell by 10% QoQ to hit …

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In Q3’24, global AI deal count skyrocketed 24% QoQ to reach 1,245 — its highest quarterly level since peaking in Q1’22. This contrasted sharply with activity in the broader venture sphere, where deal count fell by 10% QoQ to hit its lowest level since 2016/2017.

While AI deals in Q3’24 included massive $1B+ rounds to defense tech provider Anduril and AI lab Safe Superintelligence, global AI funding actually dropped by 29% QoQ. This was driven by a 77% decline in funding from $1B+ AI rounds QoQ.

Based on our deep dive in the full report, here is the TL;DR on the state of AI:

  • Global AI deal count climbs 24% QoQ to reach 1,245 — its highest quarterly level since peaking in Q1’22. This bucked the trend in overall venture deals (-10% QoQ), signaling that investor interest in AI remains strong despite the broader cooling in venture markets. AI funding, on the other hand, fell by 29% QoQ to $16.8B, driven by a 77% decline in funding from $1B+ AI rounds QoQ. 

Global AI deal count climbs to 1,245 in Q3'24, marking a 24% increase QoQ

  • The average AI deal size is $23.5M in 2024 so far — up 28% vs. $18.4M in full-year 2023. This upward trend has been influenced by a rise in massive $1B+ deals, with AI startups drawing 9 of these deals in 2024 so far vs. 4 in full-year 2023. Top $1B+ rounds in 2024 YTD include: 
    • xAI — $6B Series B at a $24B valuation
    • Anthropic — $2.8B Series D at an $18.4B valuation
    • Anduril — $1.5B Series F at a $14B valuation
    • G42 — $1.5B investment from Microsoft
    • CoreWeave — $1.1B Series C at a $19B valuation

These deals aren’t solely responsible for pushing up the average — the median AI deal size is up 9% in 2024 so far.

  • AI unicorn births more than double QoQ to reach 13 — 54% of the broader venture total in Q3’24. Generative AI continues to be a key theme for new unicorns (private companies reaching $1B+ valuations). More than half of the AI unicorns born in Q3’24 are genAI startups, and they are working across a variety of areas — including AI for 3D environments (World Labs), code generation (Codeium), and legal workflow automation (Harvey).

Among new genAI unicorns in Q3’24, Safe Superintelligence — co-founded by OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever — landed the most sizable valuation. The AI lab was valued at $5B after raising a $1B Series A round in September 2024.

In Q3'24, AI unicorn births jump to 13 — more than half of the broader venture total

  • AI M&A exits fall by 48% QoQ to hit 62 in Q3’24. The deals that did occur showcase how enterprises are strategically scooping up AI startups to improve their offerings and maintain a competitive edge. For example, the largest AI M&A deal in Q3’24 was AMD’s acquisition of AI lab Silo AI, which could help the semiconductor company enhance the development and deployment of AI models on its hardware. Meanwhile, Salesforce picked up unstructured data management startup Zoomin to support its AI agent offerings.

AI M&A exits drop by 48% QoQ in Q3'24

  • Among major global regions, the US continues to lead in AI funding and deals. AI startups based in the US drew $11.4B across 566 deals in Q3’24, accounting for over two-thirds of global AI funding and 45% of global AI deals. Within the US, Silicon Valley still dominates AI funding and deals, but other metros are gaining ground. In Q3’24, Los Angeles and New York saw their AI deal counts rise QoQ while Silicon Valley watched its count drop for the second quarter straight.

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Fintech 100: The most promising fintech startups of 2024 https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/top-fintech-startups-2024/ Thu, 24 Oct 2024 13:00:00 +0000 CB Insights has unveiled the seventh annual Fintech 100 (previously the Fintech 250) — a list of the 100 most promising private fintech companies in the world. For companies interested in the future of fintech, these startups — working on …

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CB Insights has unveiled the seventh annual Fintech 100 (previously the Fintech 250) — a list of the 100 most promising private fintech companies in the world.

For companies interested in the future of fintech, these startups — working on everything from deploying novel AI solutions across the landscape to expanding access to financial services — should be on your radar for partnership and investment opportunities.

The list primarily includes early- and mid-stage startups driving innovation across fintech. Our research team picked winning companies based on CB Insights datasets, including deal activity, industry partnerships, team strength, investor strength, employee headcount, and proprietary Commercial Maturity and Mosaic scores. We also dug into Analyst Briefings submitted directly to us by startups.

Please click to enlarge.

Fintech 100 2024 map: Lending, wealth management, compliance and risk management, data extraction, embedded finance, workflow automation, banking, insurance, sustainability enablement, financial management and accounting, cryptocurrency and blockchain, payment acceptance, spend management, fraud detection and prevention, cross-border payments, payroll, capital markets

Here is a summary of the 2024 Fintech 100 cohort highlights:

  • The 100 winners include 13 wealth management companies, 11 in embedded finance, and 10 in insurance.
  • $7.2B in equity funding raised over time, including more than $2B in 2024 so far (as of 10/23/2024).
  • Nearly 50% are early-stage companies (primarily seed/angel or Series A).
  • 52 companies from outside the United States, across 23 countries on 6 continents. This includes 17 companies from 11 emerging and developing economies.
  • 850+ business relationships since 2022, including with industry leaders like Mastercard, State Street, and Flipkart.

Companies are categorized by their primary focus area and client base. Categories in the market map are not mutually exclusive.

CB Insights customers can interact with the entire Fintech 100 list here and view a detailed category breakdown using the Expert Collection.

2024 FINTECH 100 COHORT HIGHLIGHTS

Funding and valuations

The 2024 Fintech 100 winners have raised $7.2B across 370+ disclosed equity deals to date (as of 10/23/2024).

Gaming payments company Coda Payments and rent rewards company Bilt Rewards lead all winners in disclosed equity funding (with $715M and $560M in funding, respectively). 

In 2024 so far, this year’s winners have raised just over $2B across 72 disclosed equity deals.

 

2024 funding tops $2B for Fintech 100 winners

Three winners have raised mega-rounds ($100M+ deals) in 2024 so far: 

  • Bilt Rewards — $200M Series C, $150M Series C – II
  • Akur8 — $120M Series C
  • FundGuard — $100M Series C

Just 5 companies on this year’s list have reached unicorn status (a $1B+ valuation). Amid the broader venture slowdown, just one winner has hit unicorn status in 2024 so far: Pennylane, a France-based financial management and accounting platform for businesses.

Stage breakdown and commercial maturity

Nearly half — 48 — of this year’s Fintech 100 winners are early-stage companies (primarily seed/angel or Series A).

More than 60% of the companies on the list (62) have a CB Insights Commercial Maturity score — which measures a private company’s current ability to compete for customers or serve as a partner — of 4, or Scaling. This indicates they are gaining market traction and growing clients, partners, headcount, and revenue. 

Twenty-six winners have a score of 3, or Deploying, which means they have validated ideas and are beginning commercial distribution.

Top investors

Plug and Play Ventures leads all venture capital (VC) firms, including CVC firms, in the number of winners backed. The 2024 Fintech 100 companies in its portfolio operate across financial management and accounting (Finally), capital markets (FundGuard), payment acceptance (AiFi, Fintoc), banking (Tuum), wealth management (Boldin), and payroll (WorkPay). 

Meanwhile, General Catalyst leads in the total number of investments in the 2024 Fintech 100, as it has invested 13 times across 6 companies. It has invested in Bilt Rewards, financial management & accounting firm Collective, alternative credit scoring company Nova Credit, cross-border payments platform Finom, student loan management platform Summer, and AI agent Powder.

2024 Fintech 100: Top 5 venture investors (by disclosed number of winners backed)

Geographic distribution

Just over half (52) of this year’s Fintech 100 winners are based outside of the United States. The United Kingdom leads all non-US countries with 12 winners, and Canada and Singapore are tied for second with 6 companies each. 

Seventeen companies on this year’s list come from 11 emerging and developing economies (Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Egypt, India, Kenya, Pakistan, United Arab Emirates, South Africa, Thailand, and Uruguay). Many of these winners are focused on solutions driving financial inclusion and accessibility for groups like small businesses and consumers building their credit.

Headcount growth

This year’s Fintech 100 winners collectively employ more than 18,000 people. Median year-over-year headcount growth is more than 30%.

Bilt leads all winners with $3.1M in equity funding per employee. Embedded finance company Brim Financial, blockchain company Fnality, and Coda Payments are tied for second with $1.6M per employee.

2024 Fintech 100: Top companies by equity funding per employee

Company health

Eighty-three of this year’s winning companies have a CB Insights Mosaic score — a proprietary measure of private company health and growth potential — of at least 700 out of 1,000 (as of 10/23/24). Compared to all private companies — fintechs or otherwise — with Mosaic scores, these 83 winners rank in the top 4% by Mosaic score. 

Bilt Rewards leads the cohort with a score of 952. Nova Credit and Arta are tied for second with 883.

Winners deploy AI across a variety of use cases

AI’s dominance in the venture market and broader tech conversations is reflected in this year’s Fintech 100 cohort. 

Several winners have developed AI solutions to automate financial services operations. For example, Alkymi and Saphyre are among the handful of companies using AI to analyze and extract data from financial documents.

But winners are also deploying AI within specific financial services sectors, including embedded finance, compliance, and insurance.

For instance, Gynger uses AI and data analytics to quickly approve and underwrite financing. The company is backed by PayPal Ventures and Google’s AI-focused venture arm Gradient Ventures

Meanwhile, Norm Ai offers AI agents for compliance teams, enabling them to assess content or actions against regulatory requirements. The company raised a $27M Series A round in June 2024 from investors including Bain Capital Ventures and Citi Ventures.

Delos Insurance Solutions, on the other hand, issues property insurance and analyzes satellite data using AI to identify areas with greater wildfire risk. Its founders’ backgrounds in the space industry inform their approach to data gathering via satellite.

Delos Insurance: Key people

Fintechs gear solutions toward financial inclusion and accessibility

Many of this year’s winners are focused on making financial services and technology more accessible to growing customer segments. 

Small businesses are a focus worldwide. This year’s list includes solutions like Sequoia Capital– and Founders Fund-backed Found, which offers banking for self-employed people and small business owners. Meanwhile, Pakistan-based NayaPay offers financial management for consumers as well as small businesses. Singapore-based YouTrip also has both B2C and B2B platforms for cross-border payments, focusing its B2B services on small businesses in southeast Asia. 

Companies in this year’s cohort are also targeting consumers building their financial profiles and wealth. US-based MAJORITY allows individuals to get banked in the US without social security numbers. OTO, meanwhile, offers loans for electric bike and scooter purchases in India. Banks are hesitant to finance the purchases despite strong government support for the vehicles, so the massive consumer market is turning to fintechs.

Meanwhile, companies like Bilt Rewards and CheQ are helping consumers manage their credit and build toward major purchases in different ways. Bilt converts rent payments into points that can be redeemed toward a down payment on a home, and it can also send renters’ on-time payment reports to credit bureaus. 

In India, where credit cards have lower penetration but are growing quickly, CheQ helps consumers pay off all of their credit cards and earn rewards on one digital platform. It aims to support users who are new to the credit system and offers free credit reports and tips on managing credit. The company recently announced a partnership with India’s e-commerce giant Flipkart to enable consumers to earn extra points on purchases during Flipkart’s sale event.

 

CheQ partners with India's e-commerce leader to help shoppers build rewards

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State of Digital Health Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/digital-health-trends-q3-2024/ Thu, 17 Oct 2024 13:00:18 +0000 Despite a small bump in deals, digital health funding fell once again in Q3’24, hitting its second-lowest quarterly level since 2017. Meanwhile, M&A activity is on the rise, climbing for the second straight quarter in Q3’24. Based on our deep …

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Despite a small bump in deals, digital health funding fell once again in Q3’24, hitting its second-lowest quarterly level since 2017.

Meanwhile, M&A activity is on the rise, climbing for the second straight quarter in Q3’24.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF digital health Q3’24 REPORT

Get 78+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in digital health.

Based on our deep dive in the full report, here is the TL;DR on the state of digital health:

  • Global digital health funding drops 23% QoQ to hit $3.3B in Q3’24, marking the second-lowest quarterly funding level since 2017. This decline comes despite a slight uptick in deal count QoQ. However, the average deal size in 2024 YTD is $17.8M — a 51% increase from the full-year 2023 average of $11.8M. This jump in average deal size, amid a downturn in deals over the same period, reflects that investors are concentrating larger sums on fewer, later-stage ventures.

Global digital health funding drops 23% QoQ in Q3'24

  • Digital health mega-round deals ($100M+ deals) drop slightly in Q3’24, falling from 9 to 7 QoQ. Meanwhile, mega-round funding and share of total funding also declined QoQ, underscoring a more cautious investor approach. Mega-rounds accounted for 30% of total digital health funding in Q3 — down from 44% in Q2. Top Q3’24 mega-rounds (by round amount) included:
    • Women’s health app Flo Healths $200M Series C
    • Digital-first health insurance provider Alan‘s $193M Series F

Q3'24 digital health mega-rounds amount to $1B — 30% of quarterly funding

 

  • The US accounts for 52% of digital health deals in Q3’24, down from 61% in Q2. Meanwhile, Europe and Asia both saw their deal shares rise to 21% in Q3. Asia experienced a greater jump in deal share, gaining 7 percentage points QoQ while Europe gained 3. This shift suggests growing investor interest in markets outside of traditional US hubs.

US digital health deal share drops QoQ in Q3'24, while Europe and Asia see their shares rise

  • Q3’24 sees the emergence of 2 new digital health unicorns — both based in Europe. The newest members of the digital health unicorn club are UK-based Flo Health, a women’s health app, and Huma, a remote patient monitoring platform. Against the backdrop of a broader downturn in new digital health unicorns, these births highlight Europe’s growing importance in the digital health landscape.

Q3'24 sees the emergence of 2 digital health unicorns — both based in Europe

  • Digital health M&A exits continue to climb in Q3’24, rising 23% QoQ to 37. This rising M&A appetite may be partly fueled by established companies seizing opportunities to scoop up innovative technologies amid a challenging funding environment for startups. The largest M&A deal in Q3’24 was LetsGetChecked’s $525M acquisition of digital pharmacy Truepill.

Digital health M&A exits rise for the second straight quarter in Q3'24

 

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF digital health Q3’24 REPORT

Get 78+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in digital health.

MORE DIGITAL HEALTH RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS

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State of Fintech Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/fintech-trends-q3-2024/ Tue, 15 Oct 2024 13:00:20 +0000 On the surface, Q3’24 was a sobering quarter for fintech. Funding declined by 25% from Q2’24, to $7.3B. Total deals also dropped 16% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to 753 — their lowest quarterly level since 2017. However, average deal size has remained …

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On the surface, Q3’24 was a sobering quarter for fintech. Funding declined by 25% from Q2’24, to $7.3B. Total deals also dropped 16% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to 753 — their lowest quarterly level since 2017.

However, average deal size has remained roughly stable in 2024 YTD, suggesting dealmakers are putting more money behind a select group of fintech companies.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of fintech across sectors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF FINTECH Q3’24 REPORT

Get 160+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest venture trends in payments, banking, wealth tech, and more.

Below, we cover key takeaways from the report.

  • Global fintech funding sinks to $7.3B, a 25% QoQ decline. However, Q2’24 funding was propped up in part by mega-rounds for Stripe and AlphaSense totaling $1.3B. Excluding those rounds, the decline from Q2’24 to Q3’24 would have been 13%.

Global fintech funding drops 25% QoQ after Q2 spike

  • Deal volume drops 16%. Total deals for fintechs continued to decline, falling 16% from 892 in Q2’24 to 753 in Q3’24. This marks the lowest quarterly level since 2017. For comparison, fintech deal volume clocked in at nearly 1,500 two years ago, in Q3’22 — roughly double where it stands now.

Global fintech deal volume slides for a 2nd straight quarter

  • Average deal size remains stable at $12.7M. Despite deal volume declining, average deal size has remained roughly flat YTD, at $12.7M, compared to $13.2M for full-year 2023. The decline in deal volume and stable deal size indicates dealmakers narrowed their focus to fewer, higher-dollar bets.

Fewer deals, bigger checks: Average deal size remains roughly stable, while deal volume declines

  • 52% of the top early-stage deals are in less-crowded fintech markets. Just over half of the top early-stage deals occurred in financial services markets outside the US and UK — in countries like France, India, Italy, and Kenya. Less-crowded markets like these offer more room for early-stage fintechs to find niches and grow their client bases. 

Majority of top early-stage deals are in less-crowded geographic markets

  • Wealth tech funding increases by 67%, thanks to 2 $100M+ mega-rounds. Wealth tech funding increased the most of any fintech sector QoQ, from $0.6B in Q2’24 to $1.0B in Q3’24. The increase was fueled by 2 substantial deals: 
    • $242M Series F round for turnkey retirement plan provider Human Interest
    • $200M Series B round for Earned Wealth, a digital wealth manager targeting medical professionals.

Two mega-rounds drive surge in wealth tech funding

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH FROM CB INSIGHTS:

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State of Venture Q3’24 Report https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/venture-trends-q3-2024/ Thu, 03 Oct 2024 13:00:39 +0000 AI has established a commanding presence across the VC landscape. In some ways venture has become less dramatic. The period of steep decline in funding that followed the dizzying heights of 2021 has given way to relatively moderate quarterly variations. …

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AI has established a commanding presence across the VC landscape.

In some ways venture has become less dramatic. The period of steep decline in funding that followed the dizzying heights of 2021 has given way to relatively moderate quarterly variations.

But even in a more sober fundraising environment, excitement over AI has become a major driving force for investors. One in every 3 VC dollars now goes to the tech. Silicon Valley, a major AI hub, is tightening its hold on investor cash. AI startups are exiting years faster than those working on other technologies.

As interest rates fall and the appetite for riskier assets increases, expect AI startups to be top of mind for an increasing number of investors in the months ahead.

Download the full report to access comprehensive data and charts on the evolving state of VC across sectors, geographies, and more.

DOWNLOAD THE STATE OF VENTURE Q3’24 REPORT

Get 230+ pages of charts and data detailing the latest trends in venture capital.

Below, we cover key shifts in the landscape, including:

  1. Quarterly declines in global VC funding and deals
  2. AI startups grab 1 in 3 VC dollars
  3. Performance from recent tech IPOs
  4. Silicon Valley is only getting stronger
  5. New unicorns remain rare
  6. The US claims the bulk of AI innovation
  7. How global VC stacks up against economic output
  8. 76% of top deals go to B2B startups
  9. AI startups exit 6 years sooner than the rest of tech

Let’s dive in.

Global VC has a tepid quarter as funding and deals shrink

Topline figures paint a sobering picture for venture, as both global funding and deals ticked down quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). The quarterly levels place Q3’24 on par with where VC was in 2016/2017.

However, while deal volume has progressively declined, the size of deals that do happen has grown. In 2024 so far, the average deal clocks in at $13.9M (up from $12M in full-year 2023), while the median is worth $3M (up from 2023’s $2.5M). 

The more cautious investment environment is likely driving a flight to quality as selective investors isolate the most promising ventures.

AI startups grab nearly 1 out of every 3 VC dollars

AI startups are capturing nearly a third (31%) of all venture funding right now — the second-highest share on record, following Q2’s 35%.

Within AI, a company’s age and stage don’t always correlate to the size of financing rounds. One of the largest rounds in Q3’24, for instance, was a mammoth $1B deal to Safe Superintelligence (SSI) — an early-stage startup founded in June by OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever. The company has just 10 employees.

SSI’s deal is the 9th $1B+ AI equity round this year. Given their willingness to participate in such large rounds to so many companies, investors appear confident that a new tech giant will emerge from the space — and apparently have FOMO.

Yet despite investors’ bullishness, many of today’s fledgling AI startups will struggle to live up to lofty expectations, and some will ultimately fail. Even AI giants like OpenAI face the daunting task of keeping costs in control: the AI leader’s losses are expected to amount to $5B this year

Two-thirds of recent top tech IPOs have held or gained value

The AI boom is also giving recent public debuts a boost. 

We analyzed 15 of the companies with the largest tech IPOs since 2022 to see whether they’ve gained or lost value since they filed to go public. The majority (10 out of 15) have either held steady or gained value as public players — a positive indicator for tech IPOs more broadly, which until recently were getting beaten down badly in the public markets. The fact that startups are able to maintain and even gain value as public companies will likely draw out other IPO-ready companies.

And AI is an important factor driving gains for several of these companies. For instance:

  • Arm’s value has nearly tripled since it debuted late last year. The chip designer is a leader in CPUs for AI computing hardware, including providing the architecture for AI chip firms like Nvidia.
  • Tempus is deploying AI across its precision medicine offerings, which has helped buoy its value by 31% since its IPO filing. (It legally changed its name from Tempus Labs to Tempus AI in early 2023.)
  • Like Arm, Astera Labs, which offers AI infrastructure & connectivity hardware, has benefited from the swell in widespread adoption of AI. Its value has grown 45% since filing in March 2024. 

It’s not universal — enterprise AI firm 4Paradigm, for instance, has seen its value slashed by over half since debuting. But this could be due more to geopolitical forces, as China-based 4Paradigm has faced an uphill battle in sustaining investor interest because of US restrictions. (4Paradigm was placed on a US export control list in early 2023.) 

The AI boom is consolidating Silicon Valley's dominance

Another result of the AI explosion: Cash is concentrating in Silicon Valley, home to over a third of the US-based AI startups. In fact, the metro’s share of US venture funding — across sectors — has climbed to a recent high of 41% this year.

In Q3’24, Silicon Valley-based startups raised $10.5B — more than 2.5x that of New York ($3.9B), the second-ranked metro. LA and Boston follow, with $2.9B and $2.8B, respectively. 

Notably, deal activity in Silicon Valley remains overwhelmingly early-stage — meaning it’s not just a handful of more established startups raising massive rounds. More than two-thirds of Silicon Valley’s deals this year are at the seed or Series A stages.

Q3 sees more new unicorns, though it remains a rare feat

Newly minted billion-dollar startups remain few and far between. Q3’24 saw 24 startups reach that mark — a noticeable bump from the previous quarter’s 16, though a fraction of what we saw during the tech boom of 2021 and early 2022. 

Valuations remain pressured at the later stages of investment, with many of the unicorns minted in years gone by likely worth less than $1B in reality. On the other hand, valuations are showing strength at the earlier stages. Among seed-stage startups, the median valuation for deals this year is $13.5M — the highest annual level on record.

There are a few common themes among the latest batch of new unicorns:

  • AI is minting more unicorns than any other sector. More than half of the new unicorns in Q3’24 are AI companies. Among these, several are working to bring greater spatial awareness to AI systems, from Skild AI’s intelligent humanoid robotics to World Labs3D world-building tools. Others are developing enterprise AI agents & copilots, like Harvey in the legal domain and Codeium in software engineering.
  • India’s startups are climbing the ranks. The country contributed 3 of Q3’24’s new unicorns: Ather Energy, MoneyView, and Rapido. India ranks third globally for total unicorns after the US and China, and it had a strong funding quarter in Q3’24, with startups raising $4B — up 29% QoQ and 111% YoY.
  • a16z and Sequoia are the most active investors in backing new unicorns. The investors each backed 4 of Q3’24’s freshly minted $1B+ companies. Andreessen Horowitz invested in Saronic Technologies, World Labs, Story Protocol, and Safe Superintelligence; while Sequoia Capital backed Skild AI, Harvey, Chainguard, and Safe Superintelligence.

The US is dominating AI

CB Insights tracks over 15,000 AI startups globally. And while 99 countries and regions around the world have at least 1 AI startup, the US is the undisputed leader in AI startup activity — and by a substantial margin. 

43% of all AI startups are based in the country. The distant No. 2 and No. 3 countries are China (9% of AI startups) and the UK (7%). 

The UAE, Israel, and Singapore lead in venture activity as a share of GDP

While the US has long dominated the global venture scene when it comes to absolute funding and deal activity, several countries rank above the US in terms of the ratio of venture funding to GDP: the United Arab Emirates, Israel, and Singapore. 

These 3 countries pace ahead of the US in terms of VC as a proportion of overall economic activity, suggesting they are punching above their weight in terms of fostering startup activity. 

For instance, UAE-based startups have raised over $3B in funding over the last year (since 10/1/2023), and the country’s 2023 GDP came in at $504B. That represents $1 in VC to $158 in GDP (1/158) — a stronger ratio than any other country with at least $1B in annual venture funding.

Activity in the region has recently been fueled by AI firm G42, which raised a $1.5B round from Microsoft in April. (As part of the deal, G42 will use Microsoft’s Azure cloud offering, and Microsoft will also gain access to G42’s data centers.)

Israel and Singapore hold the No. 2 and 3 spots, with venture funding to GDP ratios of 1/166 and 1/198, respectively. 

Venture investors vastly favor B2B business models

Right now, the venture capital industry is all in on B2B startups. Among the 100 largest deals in Q3’24, three-fourths went to startups that use a B2B business model (either exclusively or in combination with other models like B2C or B2G). 

The B2B distribution model — particularly at the enterprise level — has gained appeal in recent years as a potentially more stable, recurring source of revenue for startups, especially during periods of volatile consumer spending.

If you're an AI startup, you exit much faster

The buzz around AI is translating to faster exit velocity for startups in the space. Breaking down all the exits that have taken place this year, it’s clear AI startups exit at a much faster rate — 6 years faster, to be exact. It takes the median AI company just 7 years to exit from the year it was founded, compared to 13 years for non-AI companies.

While this trend holds true for recent AI IPOs, it’s most commonly seen among M&A deals, which represent the vast majority of AI exits this year.

Corporations are among the top acquirers of AI startups, with many looking to gain an edge by rapidly adding novel AI tools to their product suites.

Another driving factor is “acqui-hires,” where an acquirer purchases a startup primarily for its talent. We’ve seen this among some of the youngest AI startups to be acquired. For instance, SydeLabs and Laiyer, both founded in 2023, were acquired by Protect AI this year. In both cases, Protect AI absorbed the startups’ teams.

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Game Changers 2025: 9 technologies that will change the world https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/game-changing-technologies-2025/ Wed, 25 Sep 2024 14:48:51 +0000 Prefer to listen in? Check out our discussion of the report here:  New breakthroughs are altering the future direction of tech and its influence on the world at large. While AI has captured headlines, it’s just one part of a …

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Prefer to listen in? Check out our discussion of the report here: 



New breakthroughs are altering the future direction of tech and its influence on the world at large.

While AI has captured headlines, it’s just one part of a broader technological surge. Startups and tech giants alike are making strides in fields as diverse as clean energy, space exploration, and human longevity.

Our Game Changers 2025 report highlights 9 emerging technologies that could transform how we live, work, and interact with our environment over the next 5-10 years and beyond. 

These include:

  • Ultra-deep drilling: Advanced drilling techniques that can go far deeper to unlock superhot rock energy
  • AI agent marketplaces: Enabling dynamic integration and collaboration of specialized agents across software platforms 
  • Quantum-optimized portfolios: Using quantum computing to build higher-performing portfolios, faster
  • Cellular & epigenetic reprogramming: Altering the gene expression of cells to extend the healthy human lifespan
  • GPS-less navigation systems: Approaches that boost the resiliency and accuracy of positioning services critical to global infrastructure

Download the full report to explore all 9 technologies and the data behind them — including drivers, startups, and implications — in detail.

GAME CHANGERS 2025

See 9 world-changing technologies in this free report.

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Here’s how successful strategy teams drive influence across their organizations https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/corporate-strategy-success-influence/ Fri, 06 Sep 2024 21:03:59 +0000 Defining and measuring success for corporate strategy teams is a notoriously challenging task. In August 2024, we surveyed 50 corporate strategy leaders (at the Director-level or above) working at companies across major industries to identify key challenges they face in …

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Defining and measuring success for corporate strategy teams is a notoriously challenging task.

In August 2024, we surveyed 50 corporate strategy leaders (at the Director-level or above) working at companies across major industries to identify key challenges they face in driving influence across their organizations and the approaches they use to address them.

Only 40% have clearly defined KPIs to measure their success and alignment issues appeared as the top pain point for strategic planning.

Download the full report to delve into the most common pain points faced by strategy teams, the tactics used by the most influential teams to improve strategic planning, and what challenges still remain unaddressed.

THE STRATEGY TEAM PLAYBOOK

Download the free report on the key challenges facing corporate strategy teams — and how they overcome them.

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Big Tech in Energy: How Amazon, Google, Microsoft, & Nvidia are advancing the global energy transition https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/big-tech-energy-amazon-google-microsoft-nvidia/ Wed, 04 Sep 2024 16:53:08 +0000 The energy sector presents big tech companies with opportunities to address the growing demand for clean energy solutions and meet their sustainability goals. These tech leaders are collaborating with energy incumbents and startups alike to tap into renewable energy sources …

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The energy sector presents big tech companies with opportunities to address the growing demand for clean energy solutions and meet their sustainability goals.

These tech leaders are collaborating with energy incumbents and startups alike to tap into renewable energy sources and decarbonize their operations.

While these big tech players are competing in the energy space, they are also developing unique strategies:

  • Amazon is working to decarbonize its transportation and fulfillment center operations, with a focus on hydrogen tech.
  • Google is pioneering new models for clean energy procurement as it works to boost the sustainability of its data center network.
  • Microsoft is focusing on renewable energy sources — like solar and fusion — and carbon capture technologies to meet the growing energy demands of its AI-driven operations.
  • Nvidia is enhancing data center energy efficiency and investing in the development of a green and reliable power grid.

DOWNLOAD THE BIG TECH IN ENERGY 2024 REPORT

Find out where Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Nvidia are focused in energy — and where they plan to move next.

This report uses CB Insights datasets like investments, acquisitions, business relationships, company scouting reports, earnings transcripts, and more. Learn more about our data here.

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Future Tech Hotshots: 52 emerging tech startups that will have big, successful exits https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/future-tech-hotshots/ Fri, 30 Aug 2024 21:48:03 +0000 Of the thousands of emerging tech startups that have raised funding in the last year, which are the most likely to make a big splash and secure a large exit? The question is certainly top of mind for corporations getting …

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Of the thousands of emerging tech startups that have raised funding in the last year, which are the most likely to make a big splash and secure a large exit?

The question is certainly top of mind for corporations getting to grips with emerging technology like generative AI — the answer could help identify future competitors, partners, new markets, or acquisition targets.  

Using CB Insights’ proprietary data and metrics — including Exit Probability, Commercial Maturity, Mosaic, headcount, patents, and funding — we identified the 52 emerging players our data says are most likely to have an outsized influence in the next 5–10 years and have a strong exit. 

Download the report to see:

  • The full list of Future Tech Hotshots
  • Key themes and industry analysis
  • Methodology

SEE THE 52 FUTURE TECH HOTSHOTS

Get the free report to see which emerging startups are most poised to get a successful exit according to our data.

Future Tech Hotshots

MORE TOP COMPANY LISTS FROM CB INSIGHTS:

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